Wake Forest · away
at
Final WAKE 30 – 27 LOU
Saturday 2026-09-26 12:00 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Louisville · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
LOU pass rush5.2% 9666th6.5% 214115thfaces WAKE6.0% 13486th5.6% ~1.8 sacks
WAKE pass rush6.5% 15443rd10.0% 28941stfaces LOU7.4% 94102nd7.0% ~2.3 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

WAKE with the ball

WAKE offence vs LOU defenceWAKE offenceLOU defencerank gap
points added per play0.28031st0.10689th+58
success rate0.45258th0.40275th+17
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.30536th1.23876th+40
rush: points added per play0.13966th-0.01553rd-13
rush: success rate0.46358th0.43092nd+34
rush: explosiveness0.851103rd0.71015th-88
pass: points added per play0.40029th0.378124th+95
pass: success rate0.43374th0.38158th-16
pass: explosiveness1.75226th1.964136th+110
standard downs: success rate0.48381st0.45576th-5
passing downs: success rate0.38623rd0.27461st+38
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.13866th3.02198th+32
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14643rd0.1216th-37
short-yardage conversion rate0.550129th0.51711th-118
points per trip inside the 403.73179th3.61587th+8
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12541st0.13633rd-8
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08770th0.07323rd-47
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03829th0.06374th+45
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.00046th——

LOU with the ball

LOU offence vs WAKE defenceLOU offenceWAKE defencerank gap
points added per play0.34412th0.160110th+98
success rate0.50024th0.468127th+103
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.35323rd1.05417th-6
rush: points added per play0.20339th0.04977th+38
rush: success rate0.48635th0.41278th+43
rush: explosiveness1.03443rd0.87149th+6
pass: points added per play0.48718th0.25298th+80
pass: success rate0.51623rd0.519136th+113
pass: explosiveness1.66343rd1.0982nd-41
standard downs: success rate0.56316th0.511122nd+106
passing downs: success rate0.32464th0.346119th+55
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.809111th2.86570th-41
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19496th0.21393rd-3
short-yardage conversion rate0.72284th0.70060th-24
points per trip inside the 404.39340th3.38568th+28
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14170th0.12822nd-48
havoc allowed by the front seven0.111114th0.09460th-54
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03013th0.0348th-5
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.80082nd——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.