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Saturday 2026-11-21 · time TBA · McLane Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
BAY pass rush7.7% 13027th14.7% 2315thfaces TTU5.5% 9178th6.6% ~2.2 sacks
TTU pass rush4.5% 13280th9.2% 20758thfaces BAY3.3% 12037th3.9% ~1.3 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

TTU with the ball

TTU offence vs BAY defenceTTU offenceBAY defencerank gap
points added per play0.27232nd-0.11516th-16
success rate0.50521st0.32112th-9
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.154104th1.13938th-66
rush: points added per play0.24227th-0.2575th-22
rush: success rate0.52412th0.2808th-4
rush: explosiveness0.851102nd0.97088th-14
pass: points added per play0.46722nd-0.02525th+3
pass: success rate0.51722nd0.34423rd+1
pass: explosiveness1.51379th1.2849th-70
standard downs: success rate0.54831st0.3619th-22
passing downs: success rate0.39720th0.25243rd+23
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.28643rd2.50331st-12
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17785th0.264129th+44
short-yardage conversion rate0.77453rd0.4004th-49
points per trip inside the 404.59334th1.9585th-29
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.177119th0.214127th+8
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09791st0.138122nd+31
havoc allowed by the secondary0.079125th0.076105th-20
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.80083rd——

BAY with the ball

BAY offence vs TTU defenceBAY offenceTTU defencerank gap
points added per play0.09298th0.00352nd-46
success rate0.401104th0.35334th-70
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.26355th1.376117th+62
rush: points added per play0.05590th0.03872nd-18
rush: success rate0.44475th0.35940th-35
rush: explosiveness0.86297th0.96987th-10
pass: points added per play0.17787th0.01933rd-54
pass: success rate0.373113th0.36338th-75
pass: explosiveness1.75623rd1.62494th+71
standard downs: success rate0.449109th0.37415th-94
passing downs: success rate0.29888th0.31298th+10
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.93895th2.96290th-5
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16973rd0.19471st-2
short-yardage conversion rate0.73777th0.66751st-26
points per trip inside the 403.393100th2.57120th-80
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.167102nd0.183103rd+1
havoc allowed by the front seven0.103102nd0.10176th-26
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06492nd0.083121st+29
average starting field position (yards from own goal)64.200133rd——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.