Baylor · away
at
ASU -3.5
Saturday 2026-10-03 22:30 · Mountain America Stadium
Arizona State · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
ASU pass rush4.9% 6173rd10.7% 13130thfaces BAY3.3% 12037th4.1% ~1.4 sacks
BAY pass rush7.7% 13027th14.7% 2315thfaces ASU3.6% 5639th5.6% ~1.9 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

BAY with the ball

BAY offence vs ASU defenceBAY offenceASU defencerank gap
points added per play0.09298th0.02363rd-35
success rate0.401104th0.37050th-54
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.26355th1.17949th-6
rush: points added per play0.05590th-0.02645th-45
rush: success rate0.44475th0.39462nd-13
rush: explosiveness0.86297th0.83834th-63
pass: points added per play0.17787th0.09660th-27
pass: success rate0.373113th0.33721st-92
pass: explosiveness1.75623rd1.60090th+67
standard downs: success rate0.449109th0.45172nd-37
passing downs: success rate0.29888th0.22422nd-66
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.93895th2.90781st-14
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16973rd0.14923rd-50
short-yardage conversion rate0.73777th0.63636th-41
points per trip inside the 403.393100th2.68428th-72
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.167102nd0.15964th-38
havoc allowed by the front seven0.103102nd0.09055th-47
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06492nd0.06992nd0
average starting field position (yards from own goal)64.200133rd——

ASU with the ball

ASU offence vs BAY defenceASU offenceBAY defencerank gap
points added per play0.058105th-0.11516th-89
success rate0.41697th0.32112th-85
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.39618th1.13938th+20
rush: points added per play0.018110th-0.2575th-105
rush: success rate0.396107th0.2808th-99
rush: explosiveness1.05037th0.97088th+51
pass: points added per play0.18685th-0.02525th-60
pass: success rate0.44765th0.34423rd-42
pass: explosiveness1.74327th1.2849th-18
standard downs: success rate0.46397th0.3619th-88
passing downs: success rate0.31867th0.25243rd-24
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.690122nd2.50331st-91
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.198101st0.264129th+28
short-yardage conversion rate0.77850th0.4004th-46
points per trip inside the 403.60088th1.9585th-83
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16396th0.214127th+31
havoc allowed by the front seven0.104104th0.138122nd+18
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05981st0.076105th+24
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.000109th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.