Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). FIU wins about 52% of the time at a number like ours.
MOST
Games
4
Plays per game
61.8
Drives per game
10.5
SP+
-17.6 (125th, offence 118th, defence 128th)
Returning production
31% (pass 5%, rush -3%, receiving 47%)
FIU
Games
4
Plays per game
73.5
Drives per game
10.8
SP+
-7.6 (99th, offence 124th, defence 61st)
Returning production
32% (pass -1%, rush 16%, receiving 49%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
MOST
FIU
pass rate, all downs
47%83rd
54%26th
pass rate, standard downs
37%108th
48%20th
pass rate, 1st down
41%89th
49%29th
no-huddle share
80%45th
62%69th
pass rate, passing downs
68%48th
64%65th
pass rate, red zone
46%34th
58%7th
seconds per play (own drives)
25.8125th
30.241st
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
MOST offence
MOST offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.101
247
94 of 138
success rate
0.401
247
106 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.229
247
67 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.023
247
108 of 138
rush: success rate
0.443
247
78 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.857
247
98 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.229
247
75 of 138
pass: success rate
0.363
247
120 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.756
247
24 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.494
247
66 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.195
247
136 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.994
247
87 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.160
247
59 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.714
247
91 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.368
247
41 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.166
247
101 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.113
247
118 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.053
247
69 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.600
247
24 of 138
FIU offence
FIU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.009
294
119 of 138
success rate
0.391
294
114 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.207
294
79 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.079
294
128 of 138
rush: success rate
0.346
294
132 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.600
294
135 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.123
294
104 of 138
pass: success rate
0.444
294
67 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.594
294
59 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.441
294
116 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.302
294
80 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.826
294
106 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.180
294
86 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.789
294
45 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.500
294
130 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.153
294
83 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.075
294
45 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.078
294
122 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.300
294
54 of 138
MOST defence
MOST defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.227
296
128 of 138
success rate
0.517
296
138 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.023
296
7 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.107
296
97 of 138
rush: success rate
0.509
296
135 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.671
296
11 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.382
296
125 of 138
pass: success rate
0.508
296
132 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.487
296
54 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.581
296
138 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.360
296
124 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.332
296
125 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.160
296
31 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.870
296
127 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.969
296
110 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.149
296
48 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.088
296
51 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.061
296
66 of 138
opponent average starting field position
67.400
296
10 of 138
FIU defence
FIU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.004
249
47 of 138
success rate
0.337
249
20 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.159
249
45 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.058
249
37 of 138
rush: success rate
0.303
249
11 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.896
249
63 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.048
249
45 of 138
pass: success rate
0.363
249
36 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.361
249
22 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.403
249
33 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.232
249
31 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.231
249
10 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.218
249
100 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.667
249
46 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.762
249
32 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.177
249
85 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.120
249
108 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.056
249
55 of 138
opponent average starting field position
68.200
249
16 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs