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Wednesday 2026-11-11 · time TBA · Scheumann Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
BALL pass rush3.3% 90102nd7.5% 20195thfaces BUF2.9% 6926th3.1% ~1.0 sacks
BUF pass rush1.5% 65129th4.8% 145136thfaces BALL4.5% 8960th3.0% ~1.0 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

BUF with the ball

BUF offence vs BALL defenceBUF offenceBALL defencerank gap
points added per play0.000122nd0.325136th+14
success rate0.333136th0.452118th-18
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.21972nd1.455132nd+60
rush: points added per play-0.027120th0.256133rd+13
rush: success rate0.340133rd0.42083rd-50
rush: explosiveness0.91882nd1.352136th+54
pass: points added per play0.047114th0.455131st+17
pass: success rate0.324132nd0.500129th-3
pass: explosiveness1.50283rd1.55672nd-11
standard downs: success rate0.379134th0.495105th-29
passing downs: success rate0.240119th0.354123rd+4
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.704119th3.01094th-25
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19295th0.18859th-36
short-yardage conversion rate0.80034th0.77898th+64
points per trip inside the 404.25053rd5.042133rd+80
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16397th0.11911th-86
havoc allowed by the front seven0.10198th0.07425th-73
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06290th0.04427th-63
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.60039th——

BALL with the ball

BALL offence vs BUF defenceBALL offenceBUF defencerank gap
points added per play0.047110th0.11691st-19
success rate0.337133rd0.36644th-89
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.41714th1.445131st+117
rush: points added per play0.09083rd0.01764th-19
rush: success rate0.357127th0.38556th-71
rush: explosiveness1.15613th0.92673rd+60
pass: points added per play0.072109th0.25197th-12
pass: success rate0.339128th0.36743rd-85
pass: explosiveness1.59657th1.955135th+78
standard downs: success rate0.392133rd0.42954th-79
passing downs: success rate0.247115th0.25747th-68
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.542132nd3.039100th-32
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.214118th0.19265th-53
short-yardage conversion rate0.8897th0.62532nd+25
points per trip inside the 403.62587th3.53681st-6
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.199132nd0.15253rd-79
havoc allowed by the front seven0.138134th0.07631st-103
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06184th0.076106th+22
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.70034th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.