Massachusetts · away
at
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Saturday 2026-10-17 · time TBA · UB Stadium
Buffalo · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
BUF pass rush1.5% 65129th4.8% 145136thfaces MASS5.0% 4066th3.3% ~1.1 sacks
MASS pass rush9.1% 8818th7.3% 13699thfaces BUF2.9% 6926th6.0% ~2.0 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

MASS with the ball

MASS offence vs BUF defenceMASS offenceBUF defencerank gap
points added per play0.28030th0.11691st+61
success rate0.45059th0.36644th-15
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.23765th1.445131st+66
rush: points added per play0.26718th0.01764th+46
rush: success rate0.48139th0.38556th+17
rush: explosiveness1.02247th0.92673rd+26
pass: points added per play0.36244th0.25197th+53
pass: success rate0.40794th0.36743rd-51
pass: explosiveness1.67139th1.955135th+96
standard downs: success rate0.51050th0.42954th+4
passing downs: success rate0.30281st0.25747th-34
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.52018th3.039100th+82
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14140th0.19265th+25
short-yardage conversion rate0.550128th0.62532nd-96
points per trip inside the 403.88972nd3.53681st+9
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.09512th0.15253rd+41
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07339th0.07631st-8
havoc allowed by the secondary0.0236th0.076106th+100
average starting field position (yards from own goal)65.000131st——

BUF with the ball

BUF offence vs MASS defenceBUF offenceMASS defencerank gap
points added per play0.000122nd-0.13911th-111
success rate0.333136th0.36645th-91
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.21972nd1.0206th-66
rush: points added per play-0.027120th-0.2774th-116
rush: success rate0.340133rd0.35335th-98
rush: explosiveness0.91882nd0.3161st-81
pass: points added per play0.047114th0.04644th-70
pass: success rate0.324132nd0.38965th-67
pass: explosiveness1.50283rd1.53163rd-20
standard downs: success rate0.379134th0.42147th-87
passing downs: success rate0.240119th0.26353rd-66
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.704119th2.56738th-81
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19295th0.218101st+6
short-yardage conversion rate0.80034th0.70664th+30
points per trip inside the 404.25053rd1.5001st-52
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16397th0.16169th-28
havoc allowed by the front seven0.10198th0.08850th-48
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06290th0.073100th+10
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.60039th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.