North Dakota State · away
at
Final NDSU 38 – 32 AF
Saturday 2026-09-12 22:00 · Falcon Stadium
Air Force · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
AF pass rush7.0% 5738th8.9% 12467thfaces NDSU2.8% 7223rd4.9% ~1.6 sacks
NDSU pass rush4.9% 8276th8.2% 18279thfaces AF6.7% 3094th5.8% ~1.9 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

NDSU with the ball

NDSU offence vs AF defenceNDSU offenceAF defencerank gap
points added per play0.15770th0.00453rd-17
success rate0.400107th0.34727th-80
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.41415th1.430130th+115
rush: points added per play0.04099th0.125107th+8
rush: success rate0.349131st0.39865th-66
rush: explosiveness1.08125th1.118122nd+97
pass: points added per play0.37738th-0.06415th-23
pass: success rate0.48538th0.31214th-24
pass: explosiveness1.79420th1.867131st+111
standard downs: success rate0.456103rd0.41137th-66
passing downs: success rate0.275101st0.23029th-72
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.826107th2.86671st-36
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19194th0.21695th+1
short-yardage conversion rate0.69297th0.66744th-53
points per trip inside the 404.08360th4.000111th+51
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11532nd0.15049th+17
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06928th0.07528th0
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04654th0.075101st+47
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.40072nd——

AF with the ball

AF offence vs NDSU defenceAF offenceNDSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.29722nd-0.1565th-17
success rate0.48932nd0.39268th+36
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.083129th1.0249th-120
rush: points added per play0.3368th-0.2317th-1
rush: success rate0.51120th0.39867th+47
rush: explosiveness0.96670th0.70514th-56
pass: points added per play0.29059th-0.03023rd-36
pass: success rate0.41786th0.39067th-19
pass: explosiveness1.8779th1.43840th+31
standard downs: success rate0.55424th0.488100th+76
passing downs: success rate0.28695th0.1844th-91
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8366th2.64651st+45
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0681st0.18048th+47
short-yardage conversion rate0.80833rd0.71468th+35
points per trip inside the 404.31647th1.7224th-43
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0643rd0.183101st+98
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0212nd0.10477th+75
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04343rd0.079112th+69
average starting field position (yards from own goal)73.30026th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.