Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). WIS wins about 76% of the time at a number like ours.
RUTG
Games
4
Plays per game
68.5
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
-1.6 (75th, offence 42nd, defence 112th)
Returning production
44% (pass 10%, rush 93%, receiving 55%)
WIS
Games
4
Plays per game
61.5
Drives per game
10.5
SP+
6.9 (51st, offence 84th, defence 19th)
Returning production
31% (pass -500%, rush 32%, receiving 34%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
RUTG
WIS
pass rate, all downs
50%58th
53%36th
pass rate, standard downs
42%62nd
48%22nd
pass rate, 1st down
52%16th
49%32nd
no-huddle share
97%8th
7%128th
pass rate, passing downs
69%41st
62%75th
pass rate, red zone
40%61st
36%81st
seconds per play (own drives)
30.145th
31.023rd
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
RUTG offence
RUTG offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.135
274
77 of 138
success rate
0.482
274
37 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.301
274
40 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.024
274
106 of 138
rush: success rate
0.489
274
34 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.766
274
123 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.334
274
49 of 138
pass: success rate
0.477
274
45 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.861
274
12 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.508
274
52 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.418
274
12 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.133
274
69 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.161
274
61 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.700
274
94 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.963
274
67 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.146
274
76 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.062
274
22 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.084
274
129 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.000
274
99 of 138
WIS offence
WIS offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.142
246
75 of 138
success rate
0.423
246
89 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.391
246
19 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.183
246
44 of 138
rush: success rate
0.368
246
122 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.241
246
6 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.176
246
88 of 138
pass: success rate
0.488
246
36 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.507
246
81 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.482
246
82 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.300
246
85 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.948
246
92 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.154
246
55 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.562
246
127 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.333
246
106 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.163
246
99 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.081
246
55 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.081
246
127 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.100
246
98 of 138
RUTG defence
RUTG defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.149
241
101 of 138
success rate
0.436
241
103 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.202
241
58 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.117
241
103 of 138
rush: success rate
0.464
241
120 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.900
241
65 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.307
241
114 of 138
pass: success rate
0.415
241
83 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.589
241
85 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.497
241
110 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.297
241
87 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.002
241
93 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.200
241
77 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.750
241
86 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.652
241
90 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.137
241
37 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.100
241
73 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.037
241
12 of 138
opponent average starting field position
70.000
241
34 of 138
WIS defence
WIS defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.051
259
30 of 138
success rate
0.340
259
22 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.042
259
13 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.078
259
88 of 138
rush: success rate
0.338
259
30 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.872
259
51 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.030
259
24 of 138
pass: success rate
0.372
259
46 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.187
259
3 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.428
259
53 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.163
259
2 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.928
259
85 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.105
259
1 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.722
259
72 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.474
259
75 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.162
259
73 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.077
259
34 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.085
259
123 of 138
opponent average starting field position
74.700
259
116 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs