Purdue · away
at
ILL -10
Saturday 2026-10-03 16:15 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Illinois · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
ILL pass rush1.1% 88135th6.5% 200116thfaces PUR8.4% 119114th4.8% ~1.6 sacks
PUR pass rush3.4% 8899th5.9% 205127thfaces ILL3.2% 9431st3.3% ~1.1 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

PUR with the ball

PUR offence vs ILL defencePUR offenceILL defencerank gap
points added per play0.23745th0.193120th+75
success rate0.46548th0.445112th+64
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.19886th1.26988th+2
rush: points added per play0.08384th0.123105th+21
rush: success rate0.42988th0.41480th-8
rush: explosiveness0.88388th1.039103rd+15
pass: points added per play0.39930th0.279107th+77
pass: success rate0.50628th0.489127th+99
pass: explosiveness1.408109th1.47852nd-57
standard downs: success rate0.50754th0.490102nd+48
passing downs: success rate0.35444th0.329111th+67
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.02785th2.76660th-25
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.15957th0.20783rd+26
short-yardage conversion rate0.78946th0.783103rd+57
points per trip inside the 403.63086th3.864105th+19
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13357th0.13128th-29
havoc allowed by the front seven0.10199th0.06915th-84
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03116th0.06270th+54
average starting field position (yards from own goal)73.80018th——

ILL with the ball

ILL offence vs PUR defenceILL offencePUR defencerank gap
points added per play0.28428th0.351138th+110
success rate0.51611th0.500136th+125
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27351st1.366114th+63
rush: points added per play0.26120th0.300135th+115
rush: success rate0.51816th0.518136th+120
rush: explosiveness1.02245th1.054107th+62
pass: points added per play0.32351st0.412126th+75
pass: success rate0.52418th0.469119th+101
pass: explosiveness1.47590th1.827125th+35
standard downs: success rate0.56415th0.536132nd+117
passing downs: success rate0.38524th0.413135th+111
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.45126th3.319124th+98
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.11411th0.15126th+15
short-yardage conversion rate0.667103rd0.76293rd-10
points per trip inside the 404.03763rd5.200136th+73
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11431st0.14038th+7
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0457th0.08138th+31
havoc allowed by the secondary0.069109th0.05861st-48
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.60048th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.