Louisville · away
at
LOU -3.5
Saturday 2026-10-03 15:30 · Carter-Finley Stadium
NC State · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
NCSU pass rush2.3% 86120th4.9% 185135thfaces LOU7.4% 94102nd4.9% ~1.6 sacks
LOU pass rush5.2% 9666th6.5% 214115thfaces NCSU4.0% 10146th4.6% ~1.5 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

LOU with the ball

LOU offence vs NCSU defenceLOU offenceNCSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.34412th0.12093rd+81
success rate0.50024th0.39974th+50
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.35323rd1.25082nd+59
rush: points added per play0.20339th0.06784th+45
rush: success rate0.48635th0.446106th+71
rush: explosiveness1.03443rd0.96786th+43
pass: points added per play0.48718th0.270101st+83
pass: success rate0.51623rd0.36642nd+19
pass: explosiveness1.66343rd1.64399th+56
standard downs: success rate0.56316th0.45677th+61
passing downs: success rate0.32464th0.26454th-10
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.809111th2.82166th-45
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19496th0.19061st-35
short-yardage conversion rate0.72284th0.76290th+6
points per trip inside the 404.39340th3.59184th+44
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14170th0.15254th-16
havoc allowed by the front seven0.111114th0.07017th-97
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03013th0.082118th+105
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.80082nd——

NCSU with the ball

NCSU offence vs LOU defenceNCSU offenceLOU defencerank gap
points added per play0.22154th0.10689th+35
success rate0.48833rd0.40275th+42
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.20977th1.23876th-1
rush: points added per play0.21536th-0.01553rd+17
rush: success rate0.49330th0.43092nd+62
rush: explosiveness1.03741st0.71015th-26
pass: points added per play0.25767th0.378124th+57
pass: success rate0.48439th0.38158th+19
pass: explosiveness1.406110th1.964136th+26
standard downs: success rate0.54830th0.45576th+46
passing downs: success rate0.34151st0.27461st+10
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.29541st3.02198th+57
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14947th0.1216th-41
short-yardage conversion rate0.84021st0.51711th-10
points per trip inside the 404.67925th3.61587th+62
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15788th0.13633rd-55
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09382nd0.07323rd-59
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06495th0.06374th-21
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.90064th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.