Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). GT wins about 53% of the time at a number like ours.
GT
Games
4
Plays per game
65.0
Drives per game
10.5
SP+
-0.1 (69th, offence 66th, defence 76th)
Returning production
13% (pass 0%, rush 35%, receiving 11%)
STAN
Games
4
Plays per game
68.0
Drives per game
11.8
SP+
-8.4 (102nd, offence 98th, defence 98th)
Returning production
21% (pass -1%, rush 135%, receiving 31%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
GT
STAN
pass rate, all downs
53%34th
57%12th
pass rate, standard downs
44%47th
48%24th
pass rate, 1st down
42%78th
45%53rd
no-huddle share
33%98th
61%70th
pass rate, passing downs
71%33rd
77%13th
pass rate, red zone
48%26th
54%10th
seconds per play (own drives)
28.875th
26.4112th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
GT offence
GT offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.141
260
76 of 138
success rate
0.442
260
68 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.221
260
71 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.112
260
73 of 138
rush: success rate
0.452
260
67 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.885
260
87 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.191
260
84 of 138
pass: success rate
0.443
260
68 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.513
260
78 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.500
260
60 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.312
260
71 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.074
260
76 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.202
260
106 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.706
260
93 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.393
260
101 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.162
260
95 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.104
260
105 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.058
260
77 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
70.600
260
66 of 138
STAN offence
STAN offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.130
272
80 of 138
success rate
0.393
272
112 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.249
272
61 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.002
272
114 of 138
rush: success rate
0.398
272
105 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.796
272
113 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.230
272
74 of 138
pass: success rate
0.386
272
105 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.602
272
56 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.464
272
96 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.253
272
114 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.760
272
115 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.212
272
117 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.769
272
56 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.261
272
109 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.125
272
40 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.074
272
43 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.051
272
63 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
74.600
272
13 of 138
GT defence
GT defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.155
281
105 of 138
success rate
0.413
281
85 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.267
281
87 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.082
281
91 of 138
rush: success rate
0.447
281
107 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.865
281
45 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.343
281
121 of 138
pass: success rate
0.366
281
41 of 138
pass: explosiveness
2.089
281
138 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.447
281
68 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.341
281
115 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.906
281
80 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.171
281
38 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.684
281
54 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.654
281
91 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.160
281
68 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.121
281
110 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.039
281
15 of 138
opponent average starting field position
70.400
281
40 of 138
STAN defence
STAN defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.281
288
133 of 138
success rate
0.458
288
122 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.377
288
118 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.158
288
119 of 138
rush: success rate
0.458
288
112 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.128
288
124 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.456
288
132 of 138
pass: success rate
0.466
288
116 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.592
288
86 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.495
288
107 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.383
288
132 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.222
288
116 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.145
288
19 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.812
288
111 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.000
288
132 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.128
288
20 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.080
288
36 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.049
288
40 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.000
288
68 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs