California · away
at
Final CAL 21 – 18 SYR
Saturday 2026-09-12 15:30 · JMA Wireless Dome
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
SYR pass rush5.0% 6072nd12.5% 12016thfaces CAL3.5% 11438th4.3% ~1.4 sacks
CAL pass rush6.1% 9947th6.5% 201117thfaces SYR5.7% 8881st5.9% ~1.9 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

CAL with the ball

CAL offence vs SYR defenceCAL offenceSYR defencerank gap
points added per play0.007120th-0.12613th-107
success rate0.403102nd0.36142nd-60
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.19388th1.08721st-67
rush: points added per play-0.056123rd0.02670th-53
rush: success rate0.376119th0.43396th-23
rush: explosiveness0.763124th0.92675th-49
pass: points added per play0.13198th-0.2511st-97
pass: success rate0.42977th0.2895th-72
pass: explosiveness1.47492nd1.37724th-68
standard downs: success rate0.459101st0.45274th-27
passing downs: success rate0.29091st0.20613th-78
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.819108th2.62949th-59
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.205109th0.233111th+2
short-yardage conversion rate0.667102nd0.75087th-15
points per trip inside the 402.720127th2.75031st-96
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.169107th0.186107th0
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09483rd0.137121st+38
havoc allowed by the secondary0.076120th0.04941st-79
average starting field position (yards from own goal)73.70022nd——

SYR with the ball

SYR offence vs CAL defenceSYR offenceCAL defencerank gap
points added per play0.038113th0.01456th-57
success rate0.399109th0.36949th-60
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.33027th1.341109th+82
rush: points added per play0.14364th0.217129th+65
rush: success rate0.45069th0.42084th+15
rush: explosiveness0.99657th1.122123rd+66
pass: points added per play0.043115th-0.09213th-102
pass: success rate0.372115th0.32015th-100
pass: explosiveness1.71232nd1.644100th+68
standard downs: success rate0.443113th0.43156th-57
passing downs: success rate0.31272nd0.25545th-27
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.851102nd3.160110th+8
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.220121st0.14518th-103
short-yardage conversion rate0.80040th0.889130th+90
points per trip inside the 403.53892nd2.61525th-67
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12643rd0.13127th-16
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08460th0.0635th-55
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04240th0.06789th+49
average starting field position (yards from own goal)67.200119th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.