Houston · away
at
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Friday 2026-11-13 22:15 · Folsom Field
Colorado · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
COLO pass rush5.6% 8957th15.7% 1983rdfaces HOU3.2% 9432nd4.4% ~1.5 sacks
HOU pass rush5.7% 12253rd7.1% 197103rdfaces COLO6.6% 10690th6.2% ~2.0 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

HOU with the ball

HOU offence vs COLO defenceHOU offenceCOLO defencerank gap
points added per play0.4393rd0.00754th+51
success rate0.5792nd0.38261st+59
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.123118th1.20762nd-56
rush: points added per play0.30713th-0.13520th+7
rush: success rate0.5782nd0.41075th+73
rush: explosiveness0.796112th0.67512th-100
pass: points added per play0.6395th0.22594th+89
pass: success rate0.5933rd0.36539th+36
pass: explosiveness1.58063rd1.830127th+64
standard downs: success rate0.5817th0.41542nd+35
passing downs: success rate0.5691st0.320107th+106
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.9043rd2.37023rd+20
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0995th0.317136th+131
short-yardage conversion rate0.85713th0.64739th+26
points per trip inside the 405.12911th2.93544th+33
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.10015th0.201118th+103
havoc allowed by the front seven0.05716th0.138123rd+107
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04345th0.06478th+33
average starting field position (yards from own goal)65.300129th——

COLO with the ball

COLO offence vs HOU defenceCOLO offenceHOU defencerank gap
points added per play0.059104th0.09985th-19
success rate0.398110th0.39470th-40
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.20285th1.360112th+27
rush: points added per play-0.019119th-0.09528th-91
rush: success rate0.404101st0.34734th-67
rush: explosiveness0.852100th0.83935th-65
pass: points added per play0.113106th0.303112th+6
pass: success rate0.386104th0.443106th+2
pass: explosiveness1.60654th1.651101st+47
standard downs: success rate0.439119th0.45173rd-46
passing downs: success rate0.31270th0.28068th-2
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.13368th2.31815th-53
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14441st0.21494th+53
short-yardage conversion rate0.619117th0.64338th-79
points per trip inside the 402.217134th4.812130th-4
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.184126th0.211126th0
havoc allowed by the front seven0.122127th0.09868th-59
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06185th0.114137th+52
average starting field position (yards from own goal)74.10014th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.