Middle Tennessee · away
at
KU -19.5
Saturday 2026-10-03 12:00 · Memorial Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
KU pass rush1.8% 54126th9.0% 13361stfaces MTSU4.6% 10961st3.2% ~1.1 sacks
MTSU pass rush1.3% 75130th6.1% 181123rdfaces KU5.9% 6884th3.6% ~1.2 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

MTSU with the ball

MTSU offence vs KU defenceMTSU offenceKU defencerank gap
points added per play0.19861st-0.06826th-35
success rate0.42586th0.3088th-78
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.17198th1.23573rd-25
rush: points added per play0.16550th-0.15715th-35
rush: success rate0.44870th0.2685th-65
rush: explosiveness0.88089th0.76525th-64
pass: points added per play0.23972nd0.275105th+33
pass: success rate0.41588th0.37750th-38
pass: explosiveness1.433104th1.718113th+9
standard downs: success rate0.49465th0.36410th-55
passing downs: success rate0.27899th0.22119th-80
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.49721st2.1326th-15
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13331st0.250122nd+91
short-yardage conversion rate0.73379th0.75084th+5
points per trip inside the 404.18256th3.23860th+4
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11327th0.200117th+90
havoc allowed by the front seven0.05315th0.144127th+112
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06189th0.05657th-32
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.70035th——

KU with the ball

KU offence vs MTSU defenceKU offenceMTSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.20259th0.10187th+28
success rate0.44170th0.452119th+49
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.42910th1.12030th+20
rush: points added per play0.09780th0.05078th-2
rush: success rate0.44672nd0.463118th+46
rush: explosiveness0.94476th1.00894th+18
pass: points added per play0.28460th0.18683rd+23
pass: success rate0.41390th0.454109th+19
pass: explosiveness2.0423rd1.30013th+10
standard downs: success rate0.50456th0.511121st+65
passing downs: success rate0.32958th0.27967th+9
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.26947th3.093108th+61
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0996th0.17643rd+37
short-yardage conversion rate0.545130th0.72473rd-57
points per trip inside the 403.167115th2.66727th-88
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.173115th0.11710th-105
havoc allowed by the front seven0.10096th0.07119th-77
havoc allowed by the secondary0.073114th0.04632nd-82
average starting field position (yards from own goal)73.10030th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.