Baylor · neutral site
vs
Final BAY 16 – 17 AUB
Saturday 2026-09-05 15:30 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Auburn · neutral site
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
AUB pass rush6.5% 15342nd10.3% 30237thfaces BAY3.3% 12037th4.9% ~1.6 sacks
BAY pass rush7.7% 13027th14.7% 2315thfaces AUB9.7% 144127th8.7% ~2.9 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

BAY with the ball

BAY offence vs AUB defenceBAY offenceAUB defencerank gap
points added per play0.09298th-0.00946th-52
success rate0.401104th0.37558th-46
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.26355th1.21465th+10
rush: points added per play0.05590th-0.01850th-40
rush: success rate0.44475th0.35838th-37
rush: explosiveness0.86297th0.92472nd-25
pass: points added per play0.17787th0.12869th-18
pass: success rate0.373113th0.41480th-33
pass: explosiveness1.75623rd1.49457th+34
standard downs: success rate0.449109th0.41744th-65
passing downs: success rate0.29888th0.27765th-23
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.93895th2.56939th-56
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16973rd0.18553rd-20
short-yardage conversion rate0.73777th0.68253rd-24
points per trip inside the 403.393100th3.50078th-22
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.167102nd0.15556th-46
havoc allowed by the front seven0.103102nd0.10174th-28
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06492nd0.05447th-45
average starting field position (yards from own goal)64.200133rd——

AUB with the ball

AUB offence vs BAY defenceAUB offenceBAY defencerank gap
points added per play0.11984th-0.11516th-68
success rate0.42884th0.32112th-72
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.26852nd1.13938th-14
rush: points added per play0.18742nd-0.2575th-37
rush: success rate0.46456th0.2808th-48
rush: explosiveness0.98960th0.97088th+28
pass: points added per play0.14295th-0.02525th-70
pass: success rate0.40198th0.34423rd-75
pass: explosiveness1.58362nd1.2849th-53
standard downs: success rate0.451106th0.3619th-97
passing downs: success rate0.37827th0.25243rd+16
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.27845th2.50331st-14
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.15249th0.264129th+80
short-yardage conversion rate0.86711th0.4004th-7
points per trip inside the 404.12058th1.9585th-53
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15181st0.214127th+46
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09893rd0.138122nd+29
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05366th0.076105th+39
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.60038th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.