Win chance
BOS winsDraftKings 53%Ours 51%
WPG winsours is 2.1 pts toward BOS
Grey dot: DraftKings · gold: our composite · small dots: Kalshi, DRatings and Paine Elo (hover to see which). A gap is a reason to look, not to bet.
Who wins
| Source | WPG wins | BOS wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 52.6% | 47.4% | moneyline +102 / -122, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | 53.3% | 46.8% | moneyline +108 / -121 · takes up to $2500 |
| Kalshi | 52.5% | 47.5% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | 50.5% | 49.5% | xG share + goalie + special teams + rest · goalies: projected (DailyFaceoff) / projected (DailyFaceoff) |
| DRatings public model | 55.7% | 44.3% | projects 2.59–3.20 |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| BOS | Jeremy Swayman | not reported | | +2.0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| WPG | Stuart Skinner | not reported | | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| BOS | 2 | no | no | 2163 | -1 | 1 |
| WPG | — | no | no | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| BOS | Matthew Poitras | Injured Reserve | Poitras (lower body) was placed on injured reserve by the Bruins on Sunday, per Conor Ryan of The Boston Globe. |
| BOS | Charlie McAvoy | Suspension | McAvoy logged an even-strength goal on three shots and four PIM in a game-high 28:35 of ice time during Sunday's 3-2 shootout win over the Capitals in preseason play. |
| WPG | Garrett Brown | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| WPG | Walker Duehr | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| WPG | Elias Salomonsson | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| WPG | Connor Hellebuyck | Suspension | suspension |