Who wins
| Source | TOR wins | NYI wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 56.4% | 43.6% | moneyline +120 / -142, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | 57.0% | 43.0% | moneyline +127 / -140 · takes up to $10000 |
| Kalshi | 56.5% | 43.5% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | — | — | not built yet |
| DRatings public model | 53.1% | 46.9% | projects 2.92–3.25 |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | — | — | not published for this game |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| NYI | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
| TOR | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| NYI | — | no | no | 568 | 0 | 1 |
| TOR | 0 | yes | no | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Referees
Trevor Hanson, Brandon Blandina
announced 30 min before puck drop · linesmen Brandon Gawryletz, Kiel Murchison
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| NYI | Mathew Barzal | Injured Reserve | Barzal (knee) might resume skating this weekend or early next week, Andrew Gross of Newsday reports Wednesday. |
| TOR | Dakota Joshua | Injured Reserve | Joshua (abdomen) has been moved from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve, PuckPedia reports Wednesday. |
| TOR | Max Domi | Injured Reserve | Domi (back) was transferred from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve Wednesday, per PuckPedia. |
| TOR | Cade Webber | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| TOR | Elvis Merzlikins | Injured Reserve | Merzlikins is expected to miss 4-6 months to begin the 2026-27 regular season while recovering from a shoulder injury, per Luke Fox of Sportsnet. |
| TOR | William Villeneuve | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |