Who wins
| Source | CAR wins | FLA wins | Basis |
|---|
| DraftKings | 54.3% | 45.7% | moneyline +110 / -130, margin removed |
| Pinnacle | 54.2% | 45.8% | moneyline +113 / -125 · takes up to $10000 |
| Kalshi | 54.5% | 45.5% | winner market, bid/ask midpoint, locked before puck drop |
| Composite ours | — | — | not built yet |
| DRatings public model | 55.5% | 44.5% | projects 2.86–3.44 |
| Neil Paine Elo public model | 64.0% | 36.0% | team Elo from results (Substack tracker) |
The pickers see DraftKings, Pinnacle and Kalshi. They never see the composite, DRatings or Paine's Elo - opinions get copied.
Goalies
| Team | Goalie | Status | Reported | GSAx | Sv% | GP |
|---|
| FLA | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
| CAR | — | unknown | | — | — | — |
DailyFaceoff's starter and status; "not reported" is its projection before any news. GSAx (goals saved above expected) and Sv% are this season's (MoneyPuck).
Rest and travel
| Team | Rest days | Back-to-back | 3 in 4 | Km | Time zones | Trip/stand game |
|---|
| FLA | — | no | no | 1083 | 0 | 1 |
| CAR | — | no | no | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Referees
Chris Rooney, Jake Brenk
announced 30 min before puck drop · linesmen Libor Suchanek, Ryan Daisy
Who is outESPN
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|
| CAR | Seth Jarvis | Injured Reserve | Jarvis (shoulder) was placed on the injured non-roster list Sunday. |
| CAR | Alexander Nikishin | Out | out |
| FLA | Gustav Forsling | Out | out |
| FLA | Brad Marchand | Injured Reserve | Marchand (lower body) might be able to play before the end of October, Max Miller of NHL.com reports Wednesday. |
| FLA | MacKenzie Entwistle | Injured Reserve | ir-nr |
| FLA | Jonah Gadjovich | Injured Reserve | Gadjovich (upper body) is out indefinitely, the team announced Thursday. |