Western Kentucky · away
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Saturday 2026-11-07 15:30 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MTSU pass rush1.3% 75130th6.1% 181123rdfaces WKU3.7% 10944th2.5% ~0.8 sacks
WKU pass rush3.0% 67106th7.8% 17990thfaces MTSU4.6% 10961st3.8% ~1.3 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

WKU with the ball

WKU offence vs MTSU defenceWKU offenceMTSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.006121st0.10187th-34
success rate0.375121st0.452119th-2
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.26156th1.12030th-26
rush: points added per play-0.105133rd0.05078th-55
rush: success rate0.406100th0.463118th+18
rush: explosiveness0.720128th1.00894th-34
pass: points added per play0.125101st0.18683rd-18
pass: success rate0.359124th0.454109th-15
pass: explosiveness1.85613th1.30013th0
standard downs: success rate0.433122nd0.511121st-1
passing downs: success rate0.276100th0.27967th-33
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.695120th3.093108th-12
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.239130th0.17643rd-87
short-yardage conversion rate0.71492nd0.72473rd-19
points per trip inside the 403.66783rd2.66727th-56
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15485th0.11710th-75
havoc allowed by the front seven0.119125th0.07119th-106
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03521st0.04632nd+11
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.50070th——

MTSU with the ball

MTSU offence vs WKU defenceMTSU offenceWKU defencerank gap
points added per play0.19861st0.303134th+73
success rate0.42586th0.446114th+28
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.17198th1.460134th+36
rush: points added per play0.16550th0.341137th+87
rush: success rate0.44870th0.464121st+51
rush: explosiveness0.88089th1.232134th+45
pass: points added per play0.23972nd0.24295th+23
pass: success rate0.41588th0.429100th+12
pass: explosiveness1.433104th1.727116th+12
standard downs: success rate0.49465th0.495108th+43
passing downs: success rate0.27899th0.329112th+13
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.49721st3.504136th+115
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13331st0.14520th-11
short-yardage conversion rate0.73379th0.850123rd+44
points per trip inside the 404.18256th4.962131st+75
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11327th0.12823rd-4
havoc allowed by the front seven0.05315th0.07427th+12
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06189th0.05450th-39
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.70035th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.