Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). DEL wins about 67% of the time at a number like ours.
FIU
Games
4
Plays per game
73.5
Drives per game
10.8
SP+
-7.6 (99th, offence 124th, defence 61st)
Returning production
32% (pass -1%, rush 16%, receiving 49%)
DEL
Games
4
Plays per game
65.5
Drives per game
12.5
SP+
-10.7 (110th, offence 100th, defence 108th)
Returning production
85% (pass 96%, rush 88%, receiving 77%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
FIU
DEL
pass rate, all downs
54%26th
56%19th
pass rate, standard downs
48%20th
48%21st
pass rate, 1st down
49%29th
49%28th
no-huddle share
62%69th
72%59th
pass rate, passing downs
64%65th
72%30th
pass rate, red zone
58%7th
44%42nd
seconds per play (own drives)
30.241st
27.0101st
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
FIU offence
FIU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.009
294
119 of 138
success rate
0.391
294
114 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.207
294
79 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.079
294
128 of 138
rush: success rate
0.346
294
132 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.600
294
135 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.123
294
104 of 138
pass: success rate
0.444
294
67 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.594
294
59 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.441
294
116 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.302
294
80 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.826
294
106 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.180
294
86 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.789
294
45 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.500
294
130 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.153
294
83 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.075
294
45 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.078
294
122 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.300
294
54 of 138
DEL offence
DEL offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.036
262
114 of 138
success rate
0.389
262
116 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.267
262
53 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.046
262
97 of 138
rush: success rate
0.435
262
83 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.780
262
119 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.157
262
92 of 138
pass: success rate
0.369
262
116 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.735
262
29 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.479
262
84 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.226
262
128 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.717
262
118 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.209
262
112 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.647
262
110 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.600
262
89 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.214
262
136 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.111
262
113 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.103
262
137 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.400
262
52 of 138
FIU defence
FIU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.004
249
47 of 138
success rate
0.337
249
20 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.159
249
45 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.058
249
37 of 138
rush: success rate
0.303
249
11 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.896
249
63 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.048
249
45 of 138
pass: success rate
0.363
249
36 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.361
249
22 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.403
249
33 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.232
249
31 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.231
249
10 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.218
249
100 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.667
249
46 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.762
249
32 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.177
249
85 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.120
249
108 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.056
249
55 of 138
opponent average starting field position
68.200
249
16 of 138
DEL defence
DEL defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.080
294
79 of 138
success rate
0.388
294
65 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.312
294
100 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.060
294
36 of 138
rush: success rate
0.378
294
52 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.843
294
39 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.274
294
104 of 138
pass: success rate
0.414
294
81 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.642
294
97 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.455
294
75 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.262
294
51 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.903
294
79 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.150
294
25 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.833
294
114 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.800
294
34 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.184
294
104 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.109
294
89 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.075
294
103 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.400
294
77 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs