Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). LIB wins about 67% of the time at a number like ours.
FIU
Games
4
Plays per game
73.5
Drives per game
10.8
SP+
-7.6 (99th, offence 124th, defence 61st)
Returning production
32% (pass -1%, rush 16%, receiving 49%)
LIB
Games
4
Plays per game
66.5
Drives per game
11.5
SP+
2.5 (62nd, offence 63rd, defence 54th)
Returning production
38% (pass 75%, rush 45%, receiving 21%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
FIU
LIB
pass rate, all downs
54%26th
39%125th
pass rate, standard downs
48%20th
30%130th
pass rate, 1st down
49%29th
30%128th
no-huddle share
62%69th
77%50th
pass rate, passing downs
64%65th
62%76th
pass rate, red zone
58%7th
38%72nd
seconds per play (own drives)
30.241st
30.827th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
FIU offence
FIU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.009
294
119 of 138
success rate
0.391
294
114 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.207
294
79 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.079
294
128 of 138
rush: success rate
0.346
294
132 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.600
294
135 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.123
294
104 of 138
pass: success rate
0.444
294
67 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.594
294
59 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.441
294
116 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.302
294
80 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.826
294
106 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.180
294
86 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.789
294
45 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.500
294
130 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.153
294
83 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.075
294
45 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.078
294
122 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.300
294
54 of 138
LIB offence
LIB offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.124
266
82 of 138
success rate
0.462
266
50 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.131
266
115 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.001
266
113 of 138
rush: success rate
0.475
266
42 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.689
266
133 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.381
266
36 of 138
pass: success rate
0.449
266
62 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.921
266
8 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.487
266
75 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.400
266
17 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.324
266
36 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.113
266
10 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.762
266
61 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.643
266
84 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.147
266
78 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.094
266
84 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.053
266
68 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
67.200
266
118 of 138
FIU defence
FIU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.004
249
47 of 138
success rate
0.337
249
20 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.159
249
45 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.058
249
37 of 138
rush: success rate
0.303
249
11 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.896
249
63 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.048
249
45 of 138
pass: success rate
0.363
249
36 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.361
249
22 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.403
249
33 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.232
249
31 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.231
249
10 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.218
249
100 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.667
249
46 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.762
249
32 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.177
249
85 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.120
249
108 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.056
249
55 of 138
opponent average starting field position
68.200
249
16 of 138
LIB defence
LIB defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.039
245
71 of 138
success rate
0.355
245
37 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.386
245
123 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.147
245
114 of 138
rush: success rate
0.398
245
66 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.084
245
117 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.039
245
41 of 138
pass: success rate
0.322
245
16 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.804
245
122 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.396
245
25 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.286
245
77 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.019
245
97 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.211
245
89 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.727
245
76 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.857
245
39 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.188
245
110 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.110
245
90 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.078
245
110 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.900
245
63 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs