Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). JXST wins about 64% of the time at a number like ours.
FIU
Games
4
Plays per game
73.5
Drives per game
10.8
SP+
-7.6 (99th, offence 124th, defence 61st)
Returning production
32% (pass -1%, rush 16%, receiving 49%)
JXST
Games
5
Plays per game
61.6
Drives per game
9.6
SP+
-2.2 (77th, offence 70th, defence 87th)
Returning production
50% (pass 76%, rush 42%, receiving 49%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
FIU
JXST
pass rate, all downs
54%26th
46%90th
pass rate, standard downs
48%20th
41%71st
pass rate, 1st down
49%29th
49%26th
no-huddle share
62%69th
41%89th
pass rate, passing downs
64%65th
58%97th
pass rate, red zone
58%7th
32%99th
seconds per play (own drives)
30.241st
30.629th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
FIU offence
FIU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.009
294
119 of 138
success rate
0.391
294
114 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.207
294
79 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.079
294
128 of 138
rush: success rate
0.346
294
132 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.600
294
135 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.123
294
104 of 138
pass: success rate
0.444
294
67 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.594
294
59 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.441
294
116 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.302
294
80 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.826
294
106 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.180
294
86 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.789
294
45 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.500
294
130 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.153
294
83 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.075
294
45 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.078
294
122 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.300
294
54 of 138
JXST offence
JXST offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.204
308
58 of 138
success rate
0.481
308
38 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.192
308
89 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.107
308
74 of 138
rush: success rate
0.473
308
46 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.935
308
80 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.383
308
35 of 138
pass: success rate
0.507
308
27 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.500
308
84 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.524
308
43 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.347
308
48 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.122
308
70 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.176
308
83 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.815
308
30 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.286
308
107 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.132
308
50 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.084
308
59 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.048
308
57 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
75.300
308
5 of 138
FIU defence
FIU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.004
249
47 of 138
success rate
0.337
249
20 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.159
249
45 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.058
249
37 of 138
rush: success rate
0.303
249
11 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.896
249
63 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.048
249
45 of 138
pass: success rate
0.363
249
36 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.361
249
22 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.403
249
33 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.232
249
31 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.231
249
10 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.218
249
100 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.667
249
46 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.762
249
32 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.177
249
85 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.120
249
108 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.056
249
55 of 138
opponent average starting field position
68.200
249
16 of 138
JXST defence
JXST defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.039
324
70 of 138
success rate
0.423
324
93 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.046
324
15 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.087
324
92 of 138
rush: success rate
0.433
324
95 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.871
324
48 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.043
324
42 of 138
pass: success rate
0.408
324
75 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.340
324
18 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.494
324
103 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.236
324
34 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.915
324
84 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.171
324
39 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.840
324
118 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.500
324
79 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.155
324
57 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.100
324
71 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.055
324
53 of 138
opponent average starting field position
74.000
324
108 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs