Toledo · away
at
—
Friday 2026-11-27 12:00 · Peden Stadium
Ohio · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
OHIO pass rush2.5% 80117th8.9% 21364thfaces TOL2.1% 9612th2.3% ~0.8 sacks
TOL pass rush7.1% 9937th6.9% 218110thfaces OHIO7.7% 91106th7.4% ~2.4 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

TOL with the ball

TOL offence vs OHIO defenceTOL offenceOHIO defencerank gap
points added per play0.26934th0.276131st+97
success rate0.44762nd0.432100th+38
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.5271st1.381121st+120
rush: points added per play0.10675th0.147115th+40
rush: success rate0.41596th0.40571st-25
rush: explosiveness1.06730th1.088118th+88
pass: points added per play0.44024th0.490135th+111
pass: success rate0.48440th0.480123rd+83
pass: explosiveness1.9357th1.774118th+111
standard downs: success rate0.49763rd0.44060th-3
passing downs: success rate0.32959th0.413134th+75
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.07774th2.83367th-7
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17075th0.20988th+13
short-yardage conversion rate0.667106th0.76291st-15
points per trip inside the 404.55237th5.350138th+101
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13662nd0.15863rd+1
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07238th0.11293rd+55
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06497th0.04633rd-64
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.300106th——

OHIO with the ball

OHIO offence vs TOL defenceOHIO offenceTOL defencerank gap
points added per play0.22353rd-0.02339th-14
success rate0.44269th0.32515th-54
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.25757th1.30295th+38
rush: points added per play0.28616th-0.09529th+13
rush: success rate0.46357th0.2839th-48
rush: explosiveness1.05336th0.95882nd+46
pass: points added per play0.104107th0.17079th-28
pass: success rate0.396100th0.39169th-31
pass: explosiveness1.55569th1.58082nd+13
standard downs: success rate0.51647th0.38619th-28
passing downs: success rate0.272104th0.21016th-88
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.56614th2.62146th+32
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.1018th0.20785th+77
short-yardage conversion rate0.86412th0.3893rd-9
points per trip inside the 404.28051st2.87541st-10
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13763rd0.13531st-32
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07031st0.07324th-7
havoc allowed by the secondary0.067103rd0.06272nd-31
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.70088th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.