Central Michigan · away
at
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Wednesday 2026-11-18 · time TBA · UB Stadium
Buffalo · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
BUF pass rush1.5% 65129th4.8% 145136thfaces CMU9.3% 54122nd5.4% ~1.8 sacks
CMU pass rush4.3% 9385th5.7% 193130thfaces BUF2.9% 6926th3.6% ~1.2 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

CMU with the ball

CMU offence vs BUF defenceCMU offenceBUF defencerank gap
points added per play0.000123rd0.11691st-32
success rate0.351129th0.36644th-85
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.19687th1.445131st+44
rush: points added per play0.13568th0.01764th-4
rush: success rate0.401102nd0.38556th-46
rush: explosiveness1.10722nd0.92673rd+51
pass: points added per play-0.180137th0.25197th-40
pass: success rate0.263138th0.36743rd-95
pass: explosiveness1.423107th1.955135th+28
standard downs: success rate0.395131st0.42954th-77
passing downs: success rate0.254112th0.25747th-65
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.18163rd3.039100th+37
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12922nd0.19265th+43
short-yardage conversion rate0.82625th0.62532nd+7
points per trip inside the 403.000119th3.53681st-38
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16294th0.15253rd-41
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09687th0.07631st-56
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06699th0.076106th+7
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.40051st——

BUF with the ball

BUF offence vs CMU defenceBUF offenceCMU defencerank gap
points added per play0.000122nd0.166114th-8
success rate0.333136th0.473132nd-4
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.21972nd1.11829th-43
rush: points added per play-0.027120th0.118104th-16
rush: success rate0.340133rd0.496133rd0
rush: explosiveness0.91882nd0.86243rd-39
pass: points added per play0.047114th0.15375th-39
pass: success rate0.324132nd0.434102nd-30
pass: explosiveness1.50283rd1.32917th-66
standard downs: success rate0.379134th0.522126th-8
passing downs: success rate0.240119th0.366126th+7
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.704119th3.534137th+18
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19295th0.13514th-81
short-yardage conversion rate0.80034th0.933136th+102
points per trip inside the 404.25053rd3.39370th+17
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16397th0.14442nd-55
havoc allowed by the front seven0.10198th0.06814th-84
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06290th0.076107th+17
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.60039th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.