Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). WMU wins about 77% of the time at a number like ours.
BGSU
Games
4
Plays per game
58.0
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
-26.4 (136th, offence 138th, defence 126th)
Returning production
-6% (pass 940%, rush 0%, receiving 3%)
WMU
Games
4
Plays per game
61.2
Drives per game
10.8
SP+
-7.2 (96th, offence 113th, defence 72nd)
Returning production
100% (pass 100%, rush 100%, receiving 100%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
BGSU
WMU
pass rate, all downs
45%95th
43%109th
pass rate, standard downs
38%99th
39%89th
pass rate, 1st down
38%105th
46%49th
no-huddle share
29%102nd
19%113th
pass rate, passing downs
59%94th
50%128th
pass rate, red zone
25%122nd
18%131st
seconds per play (own drives)
32.68th
33.63rd
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
BGSU offence
BGSU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.115
232
136 of 138
success rate
0.336
232
135 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
0.958
232
138 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.261
232
138 of 138
rush: success rate
0.302
232
138 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.577
232
136 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.059
232
111 of 138
pass: success rate
0.364
232
119 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.447
232
101 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.431
232
124 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.152
232
137 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.431
232
135 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.246
232
133 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.727
232
80 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
1.188
232
138 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.194
232
129 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.138
232
135 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.056
232
76 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.300
232
53 of 138
WMU offence
WMU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.093
245
97 of 138
success rate
0.400
245
108 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.167
245
99 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.147
245
63 of 138
rush: success rate
0.413
245
97 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.979
245
64 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.006
245
126 of 138
pass: success rate
0.380
245
111 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.426
245
106 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.450
245
108 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.306
245
75 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.870
245
101 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.167
245
67 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.737
245
78 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.364
245
42 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.131
245
49 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.094
245
86 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.037
245
23 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.600
245
92 of 138
BGSU defence
BGSU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.227
242
127 of 138
success rate
0.492
242
135 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.294
242
93 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.251
242
132 of 138
rush: success rate
0.520
242
137 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.216
242
133 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.277
242
106 of 138
pass: success rate
0.477
242
122 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.438
242
39 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.556
242
136 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.306
242
94 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.436
242
133 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.169
242
36 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.739
242
81 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.231
242
121 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.120
242
13 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.091
242
56 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.029
242
2 of 138
opponent average starting field position
70.100
242
35 of 138
WMU defence
WMU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.099
269
86 of 138
success rate
0.465
269
125 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.025
269
10 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.022
269
66 of 138
rush: success rate
0.450
269
108 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.720
269
18 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.173
269
81 of 138
pass: success rate
0.464
269
115 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.440
269
42 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.477
269
91 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.432
269
137 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.051
269
103 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.172
269
41 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.720
269
70 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.650
269
89 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.108
269
4 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.056
269
3 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.052
269
45 of 138
opponent average starting field position
76.300
269
132 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs