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Final null 28 – 31 BUF
Saturday 2026-09-26 15:30 · UB Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
BUF pass rush1.5% 65129th4.8% 145136thfaces ——
pass rush——faces BUF2.9% 6926th—

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

null with the ball

offence vs BUF defence offenceBUF defencerank gap

BUF with the ball

BUF offence vs defenceBUF offence defencerank gap
points added per play0.000122nd——
success rate0.333136th——
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.21972nd——
rush: points added per play-0.027120th——
rush: success rate0.340133rd——
rush: explosiveness0.91882nd——
pass: points added per play0.047114th——
pass: success rate0.324132nd——
pass: explosiveness1.50283rd——
standard downs: success rate0.379134th——
passing downs: success rate0.240119th——
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.704119th——
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19295th——
short-yardage conversion rate0.80034th——
points per trip inside the 404.25053rd——
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16397th——
havoc allowed by the front seven0.10198th——
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06290th——
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.60039th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.