Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). EMU wins about 67% of the time at a number like ours.
SAC
Games
5
Plays per game
69.8
Drives per game
12.2
SP+
-22.9 (131st, offence 133rd, defence 124th)
Returning production
— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)
EMU
Games
5
Plays per game
65.2
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
-18.0 (127th, offence 127th, defence 110th)
Returning production
72% (pass 97%, rush 49%, receiving 64%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
SAC
EMU
pass rate, all downs
58%9th
57%15th
pass rate, standard downs
47%32nd
49%16th
pass rate, 1st down
46%44th
52%15th
no-huddle share
16%116th
14%118th
pass rate, passing downs
85%2nd
75%19th
pass rate, red zone
51%16th
43%44th
seconds per play (own drives)
28.577th
29.755th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
SAC offence
SAC offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.061
349
131 of 138
success rate
0.418
349
95 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.005
349
136 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.089
349
131 of 138
rush: success rate
0.476
349
41 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.705
349
131 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.002
349
123 of 138
pass: success rate
0.387
349
103 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.274
349
132 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.496
349
64 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.228
349
126 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.691
349
121 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.252
349
135 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.750
349
70 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.552
349
129 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.169
349
108 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.083
349
58 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.086
349
132 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.100
349
62 of 138
EMU offence
EMU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.016
326
124 of 138
success rate
0.371
326
122 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.143
326
110 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.036
326
102 of 138
rush: success rate
0.394
326
109 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.956
326
74 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.058
326
112 of 138
pass: success rate
0.362
326
121 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.310
326
126 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.436
326
121 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.236
326
123 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.895
326
98 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.168
326
68 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.800
326
37 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.179
326
114 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.172
326
112 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.098
326
94 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.074
326
116 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
74.800
326
10 of 138
SAC defence
SAC defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.125
303
97 of 138
success rate
0.360
303
40 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.417
303
128 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.037
303
43 of 138
rush: success rate
0.323
303
22 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.113
303
121 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.341
303
119 of 138
pass: success rate
0.414
303
82 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.674
303
105 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.436
303
58 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.208
303
14 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.912
303
83 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.180
303
49 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.500
303
9 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.821
303
100 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.122
303
15 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.089
303
53 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.033
303
7 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.200
303
72 of 138
EMU defence
EMU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.112
332
90 of 138
success rate
0.410
332
84 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.253
332
84 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.064
332
82 of 138
rush: success rate
0.406
332
72 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.040
332
105 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.204
332
87 of 138
pass: success rate
0.426
332
96 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.455
332
50 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.484
332
96 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.265
332
55 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.970
332
92 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.187
332
55 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.696
332
57 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.406
332
72 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.179
332
91 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.095
332
61 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.084
332
122 of 138
opponent average starting field position
68.800
332
23 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs