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Saturday 2026-11-14 · time TBA · Sun Bowl
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The units, side by side

WYOUTEPbar = FBS percentile, longer is better · dotted tick = median teamOffence: points per play — offence490Offence: points per play — defence316Offence: success rate — offence6310Offence: success rate — defence215Offence: explosiveness — offence78Offence: explosiveness — defence8455Run game — offence561Run game — defence2019Pass game — offence345Pass game — defence391Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — offence904Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — defence1434Havoc (allowed vs created) — offence381Havoc (allowed vs created) — defence8288

Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.

What actually happens around a number like this

tiecardsWYO by 37UTEP by 43

Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). UTEP wins about 57% of the time at a number like ours.

WYO

Games4
Plays per game60.2
Drives per game10.0
SP+-12.7 (116th, offence 126th, defence 80th)
Returning production23% (pass 3%, rush 81%, receiving 20%)

UTEP

Games4
Plays per game56.5
Drives per game11.5
SP+-24.0 (134th, offence 128th, defence 135th)
Returning production-1% (pass 18%, rush -31%, receiving 15%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceWYOUTEP
pass rate, all downs45%93rd43%108th
pass rate, standard downs44%52nd40%81st
pass rate, 1st down44%63rd44%57th
no-huddle share4%134th75%53rd
pass rate, red zone42%49th46%30th
pass rate, passing downs49%129th48%130th
seconds per play (own drives)31.318th31.221st

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

WYO offence

WYO offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.15624171 of 138
success rate0.46124152 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.088241128 of 138
rush: points added per play0.14824161 of 138
rush: success rate0.46524155 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.795241116 of 138
pass: points added per play0.16124191 of 138
pass: success rate0.44024170 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.330241124 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.50324158 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.36524138 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.55624115 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14024139 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate1.0002412 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.958241122 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15424186 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09124179 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06224191 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.10024178 of 138

UTEP offence

UTEP offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.179226138 of 138
success rate0.367226124 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.092226127 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.197226136 of 138
rush: success rate0.357226128 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.86722695 of 138
pass: points added per play-0.037226131 of 138
pass: success rate0.40222697 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.371226118 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.442226115 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.200226135 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.516226133 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.240226131 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.500226135 of 138
points per trip inside the 401.700226136 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.217226137 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.173226137 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04422648 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.800226100 of 138

WYO defence

WYO defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.12326295 of 138
success rate0.443262109 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.09126223 of 138
rush: points added per play0.133262110 of 138
rush: success rate0.462262115 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.85026241 of 138
pass: points added per play0.19826285 of 138
pass: success rate0.42526295 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.44726248 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.503262114 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.28826280 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.263262119 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.14526221 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.923262134 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.95726245 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13026226 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.07626233 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.05326246 of 138
opponent average starting field position72.70026289 of 138

UTEP defence

UTEP defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.252254130 of 138
success rate0.472254131 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.20925463 of 138
rush: points added per play0.136254112 of 138
rush: success rate0.439254104 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.92225471 of 138
pass: points added per play0.512254137 of 138
pass: success rate0.528254138 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.57125478 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.508254116 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.369254129 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.96925491 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.223254105 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.66725452 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.500254128 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12625417 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.09425459 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.0312544 of 138
opponent average starting field position67.40025411 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs