Northern Illinois · away
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Saturday 2026-11-07 · time TBA · CEFCU Stadium
San José State · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
SJSU pass rush2.7% 111114th7.5% 21294thfaces NIU10.7% 122133rd6.7% ~2.2 sacks
NIU pass rush3.9% 10292nd9.6% 19848thfaces SJSU5.1% 11768th4.5% ~1.5 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

NIU with the ball

NIU offence vs SJSU defenceNIU offenceSJSU defencerank gap
points added per play-0.121137th0.06675th-62
success rate0.362127th0.436104th-23
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.19090th1.07019th-71
rush: points added per play-0.112134th0.10696th-38
rush: success rate0.381117th0.476126th+9
rush: explosiveness0.87793rd0.87654th-39
pass: points added per play0.007122nd0.13171st-51
pass: success rate0.366118th0.41889th-29
pass: explosiveness1.414108th1.2788th-100
standard downs: success rate0.442114th0.510120th+6
passing downs: success rate0.215131st0.27057th-74
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.560130th2.93186th-44
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.210113th0.16937th-76
short-yardage conversion rate0.76558th0.833115th+57
points per trip inside the 401.545137th3.43374th-63
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.177118th0.13634th-84
havoc allowed by the front seven0.132132nd0.07018th-114
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04551st0.06688th+37
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.30043rd——

SJSU with the ball

SJSU offence vs NIU defenceSJSU offenceNIU defencerank gap
points added per play0.082100th0.159109th+9
success rate0.396111th0.444111th0
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.22469th1.323106th+37
rush: points added per play-0.014118th0.11098th-20
rush: success rate0.364124th0.41176th-48
rush: explosiveness0.96471st1.076113th+42
pass: points added per play0.24071st0.26099th+28
pass: success rate0.42978th0.492128th+50
pass: explosiveness1.447102nd1.48955th-47
standard downs: success rate0.46298th0.47892nd-6
passing downs: success rate0.273103rd0.372130th+27
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.18261st2.90277th+16
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.18691st0.20279th-12
short-yardage conversion rate0.571124th0.57919th-105
points per trip inside the 403.360104th3.73196th-8
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15282nd0.12719th-63
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08565th0.08647th-18
havoc allowed by the secondary0.067104th0.04119th-85
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.30045th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.