Air Force · away
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Saturday 2026-10-10 19:30 · Huskie Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
NIU pass rush3.9% 10292nd9.6% 19848thfaces AF6.7% 3094th5.3% ~1.7 sacks
AF pass rush7.0% 5738th8.9% 12467thfaces NIU10.7% 122133rd8.8% ~2.9 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

AF with the ball

AF offence vs NIU defenceAF offenceNIU defencerank gap
points added per play0.29722nd0.159109th+87
success rate0.48932nd0.444111th+79
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.083129th1.323106th-23
rush: points added per play0.3368th0.11098th+90
rush: success rate0.51120th0.41176th+56
rush: explosiveness0.96670th1.076113th+43
pass: points added per play0.29059th0.26099th+40
pass: success rate0.41786th0.492128th+42
pass: explosiveness1.8779th1.48955th+46
standard downs: success rate0.55424th0.47892nd+68
passing downs: success rate0.28695th0.372130th+35
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8366th2.90277th+71
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0681st0.20279th+78
short-yardage conversion rate0.80833rd0.57919th-14
points per trip inside the 404.31647th3.73196th+49
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0643rd0.12719th+16
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0212nd0.08647th+45
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04343rd0.04119th-24
average starting field position (yards from own goal)73.30026th——

NIU with the ball

NIU offence vs AF defenceNIU offenceAF defencerank gap
points added per play-0.121137th0.00453rd-84
success rate0.362127th0.34727th-100
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.19090th1.430130th+40
rush: points added per play-0.112134th0.125107th-27
rush: success rate0.381117th0.39865th-52
rush: explosiveness0.87793rd1.118122nd+29
pass: points added per play0.007122nd-0.06415th-107
pass: success rate0.366118th0.31214th-104
pass: explosiveness1.414108th1.867131st+23
standard downs: success rate0.442114th0.41137th-77
passing downs: success rate0.215131st0.23029th-102
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.560130th2.86671st-59
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.210113th0.21695th-18
short-yardage conversion rate0.76558th0.66744th-14
points per trip inside the 401.545137th4.000111th-26
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.177118th0.15049th-69
havoc allowed by the front seven0.132132nd0.07528th-104
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04551st0.075101st+50
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.30043rd——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.