Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). CMU wins about 53% of the time at a number like ours.
WYO
Games
4
Plays per game
60.2
Drives per game
10.0
SP+
-12.7 (116th, offence 126th, defence 80th)
Returning production
23% (pass 3%, rush 81%, receiving 20%)
CMU
Games
4
Plays per game
57.0
Drives per game
10.2
SP+
-18.7 (129th, offence 136th, defence 100th)
Returning production
54% (pass 9%, rush 123%, receiving 65%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
WYO
CMU
pass rate, all downs
45%93rd
35%133rd
pass rate, standard downs
44%52nd
25%133rd
pass rate, 1st down
44%63rd
32%121st
no-huddle share
4%134th
2%137th
pass rate, red zone
42%49th
20%129th
pass rate, passing downs
49%129th
56%107th
seconds per play (own drives)
31.318th
32.69th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
WYO offence
WYO offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.156
241
71 of 138
success rate
0.461
241
52 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.088
241
128 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.148
241
61 of 138
rush: success rate
0.465
241
55 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.795
241
116 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.161
241
91 of 138
pass: success rate
0.440
241
70 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.330
241
124 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.503
241
58 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.365
241
38 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.556
241
15 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.140
241
39 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
1.000
241
2 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.958
241
122 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.154
241
86 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.091
241
79 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.062
241
91 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
70.100
241
78 of 138
CMU offence
CMU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.000
228
123 of 138
success rate
0.351
228
129 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.196
228
87 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.135
228
68 of 138
rush: success rate
0.401
228
102 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.107
228
22 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.180
228
137 of 138
pass: success rate
0.263
228
138 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.423
228
107 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.395
228
131 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.254
228
112 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.181
228
63 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.129
228
22 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.826
228
25 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.000
228
119 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.162
228
94 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.096
228
87 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.066
228
99 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.400
228
51 of 138
WYO defence
WYO defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.123
262
95 of 138
success rate
0.443
262
109 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.091
262
23 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.133
262
110 of 138
rush: success rate
0.462
262
115 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.850
262
41 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.198
262
85 of 138
pass: success rate
0.425
262
95 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.447
262
48 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.503
262
114 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.288
262
80 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.263
262
119 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.145
262
21 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.923
262
134 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.957
262
45 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.130
262
26 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.076
262
33 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.053
262
46 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.700
262
89 of 138
CMU defence
CMU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.166
264
114 of 138
success rate
0.473
264
132 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.118
264
29 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.118
264
104 of 138
rush: success rate
0.496
264
133 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.862
264
43 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.153
264
75 of 138
pass: success rate
0.434
264
102 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.329
264
17 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.522
264
126 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.366
264
126 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.534
264
137 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.135
264
14 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.933
264
136 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.393
264
70 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.144
264
42 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.068
264
14 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.076
264
107 of 138
opponent average starting field position
68.300
264
19 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs