Nevada · away
at
Final NEV 20 – 27 MTSU
Saturday 2026-09-19 19:00 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Middle Tennessee · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MTSU pass rush1.3% 75130th6.1% 181123rdfaces NEV5.3% 7574th3.3% ~1.1 sacks
NEV pass rush4.7% 8578th5.2% 230133rdfaces MTSU4.6% 10961st4.7% ~1.5 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

NEV with the ball

NEV offence vs MTSU defenceNEV offenceMTSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.09396th0.10187th-9
success rate0.41499th0.452119th+20
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.29544th1.12030th-14
rush: points added per play0.21835th0.05078th+43
rush: success rate0.49331st0.463118th+87
rush: explosiveness1.08923rd1.00894th+71
pass: points added per play-0.015128th0.18683rd-45
pass: success rate0.324133rd0.454109th-24
pass: explosiveness1.69135th1.30013th-22
standard downs: success rate0.46695th0.511121st+26
passing downs: success rate0.30576th0.27967th-9
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.23652nd3.093108th+56
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.197100th0.17643rd-57
short-yardage conversion rate0.640112th0.72473rd-39
points per trip inside the 404.04562nd2.66727th-35
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12947th0.11710th-37
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07442nd0.07119th-23
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05574th0.04632nd-42
average starting field position (yards from own goal)73.30028th——

MTSU with the ball

MTSU offence vs NEV defenceMTSU offenceNEV defencerank gap
points added per play0.19861st0.149100th+39
success rate0.42586th0.42190th+4
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.17198th1.12031st-67
rush: points added per play0.16550th0.125108th+58
rush: success rate0.44870th0.438103rd+33
rush: explosiveness0.88089th0.87452nd-37
pass: points added per play0.23972nd0.271102nd+30
pass: success rate0.41588th0.42293rd+5
pass: explosiveness1.433104th1.53564th-40
standard downs: success rate0.49465th0.47489th+24
passing downs: success rate0.27899th0.30591st-8
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.49721st3.272120th+99
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13331st0.14622nd-9
short-yardage conversion rate0.73379th0.62533rd-46
points per trip inside the 404.18256th3.24061st+5
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11327th0.1127th-20
havoc allowed by the front seven0.05315th0.0636th-9
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06189th0.04939th-50
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.70035th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.