Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). FAU wins about 87% of the time at a number like ours.
RICE
Games
4
Plays per game
63.8
Drives per game
10.2
SP+
-15.1 (119th, offence 119th, defence 116th)
Returning production
39% (pass -317%, rush 77%, receiving 54%)
FAU
Games
4
Plays per game
82.5
Drives per game
11.5
SP+
-4.2 (87th, offence 64th, defence 106th)
Returning production
68% (pass 93%, rush 107%, receiving 48%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
RICE
FAU
pass rate, all downs
25%134th
54%28th
pass rate, standard downs
18%134th
48%25th
pass rate, 1st down
17%135th
53%13th
no-huddle share
58%76th
98%7th
pass rate, red zone
5%138th
53%12th
pass rate, passing downs
43%135th
68%46th
seconds per play (own drives)
30.532nd
22.5137th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
RICE offence
RICE offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.069
255
102 of 138
success rate
0.447
255
61 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.118
255
121 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.127
255
70 of 138
rush: success rate
0.489
255
33 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.986
255
62 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.059
255
133 of 138
pass: success rate
0.333
255
130 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.648
255
47 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.527
255
41 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.239
255
120 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.353
255
33 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.132
255
28 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.800
255
39 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.833
255
74 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.137
255
64 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.110
255
111 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.027
255
9 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
76.400
255
2 of 138
FAU offence
FAU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.142
330
74 of 138
success rate
0.436
330
74 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.151
330
107 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.055
330
91 of 138
rush: success rate
0.387
330
113 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.976
330
66 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.230
330
73 of 138
pass: success rate
0.482
330
42 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.287
330
129 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.466
330
94 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.365
330
36 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.746
330
117 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.167
330
66 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.793
330
42 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.962
330
68 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.145
330
74 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.085
330
61 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.061
330
86 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.600
330
90 of 138
RICE defence
RICE defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.137
261
98 of 138
success rate
0.429
261
97 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.289
261
92 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.152
261
117 of 138
rush: success rate
0.426
261
88 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.141
261
126 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.150
261
74 of 138
pass: success rate
0.442
261
105 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.497
261
59 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.489
261
101 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.310
261
97 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.766
261
61 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.184
261
52 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.647
261
40 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.280
261
122 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.146
261
44 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.107
261
86 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.038
261
14 of 138
opponent average starting field position
68.000
261
14 of 138
FAU defence
FAU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.209
259
122 of 138
success rate
0.405
259
78 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.543
259
136 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.171
259
120 of 138
rush: success rate
0.389
259
58 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.172
259
130 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.288
259
109 of 138
pass: success rate
0.427
259
97 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.875
259
132 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.463
259
81 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.286
259
76 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.805
259
64 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.191
259
62 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.857
259
124 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.227
259
120 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.158
259
62 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.089
259
52 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.069
259
93 of 138
opponent average starting field position
73.100
259
92 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs