Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). TEM wins about 73% of the time at a number like ours.
CLT
Games
4
Plays per game
60.8
Drives per game
11.5
SP+
-27.3 (137th, offence 137th, defence 137th)
Returning production
41% (pass 113%, rush 27%, receiving 16%)
TEM
Games
4
Plays per game
61.5
Drives per game
9.8
SP+
-6.1 (92nd, offence 67th, defence 112th)
Returning production
37% (pass 0%, rush 23%, receiving 69%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
CLT
TEM
pass rate, all downs
57%14th
36%131st
pass rate, standard downs
50%12th
31%128th
pass rate, 1st down
52%18th
29%130th
no-huddle share
35%96th
64%67th
pass rate, passing downs
72%29th
52%124th
pass rate, red zone
49%23rd
33%94th
seconds per play (own drives)
29.853rd
30.144th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
CLT offence
CLT offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.095
243
134 of 138
success rate
0.362
243
126 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.060
243
132 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.155
243
135 of 138
rush: success rate
0.365
243
123 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.760
243
125 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.024
243
118 of 138
pass: success rate
0.376
243
112 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.288
243
128 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.444
243
112 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.205
243
133 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.384
243
137 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.279
243
137 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.571
243
123 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.312
243
133 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.173
243
114 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.103
243
103 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.070
243
110 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.900
243
17 of 138
TEM offence
TEM offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.237
246
46 of 138
success rate
0.435
246
78 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.301
246
41 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.256
246
23 of 138
rush: success rate
0.461
246
60 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.060
246
32 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.205
246
79 of 138
pass: success rate
0.384
246
108 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.834
246
15 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.475
246
89 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.333
246
56 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.328
246
35 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.169
246
74 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.727
246
83 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.381
246
103 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.089
246
7 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.049
246
11 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.041
246
36 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
74.100
246
16 of 138
CLT defence
CLT defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.165
284
113 of 138
success rate
0.472
284
129 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.181
284
50 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.097
284
94 of 138
rush: success rate
0.433
284
94 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.102
284
119 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.343
284
120 of 138
pass: success rate
0.520
284
137 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.294
284
12 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.482
284
95 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.449
284
138 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.793
284
63 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.247
284
120 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.800
284
107 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.037
284
113 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.137
284
36 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.106
284
80 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.032
284
5 of 138
opponent average starting field position
66.300
284
7 of 138
TEM defence
TEM defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.209
267
123 of 138
success rate
0.457
267
121 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.202
267
59 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.155
267
118 of 138
rush: success rate
0.455
267
111 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.884
267
58 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.306
267
113 of 138
pass: success rate
0.474
267
121 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.576
267
80 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.497
267
111 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.347
267
120 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.883
267
72 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.110
267
4 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.769
267
96 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.586
267
83 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.109
267
5 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.052
267
2 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.056
267
59 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.400
267
78 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs