Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). UAB wins about 53% of the time at a number like ours.
ECU
Games
4
Plays per game
60.5
Drives per game
12.8
SP+
-2.8 (79th, offence 92nd, defence 69th)
Returning production
14% (pass 0%, rush 27%, receiving 20%)
UAB
Games
4
Plays per game
66.2
Drives per game
10.0
SP+
-14.3 (118th, offence 116th, defence 115th)
Returning production
80% (pass 100%, rush 63%, receiving 74%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
ECU
UAB
pass rate, all downs
52%42nd
41%118th
pass rate, standard downs
44%50th
33%121st
pass rate, 1st down
40%91st
31%123rd
no-huddle share
79%47th
76%52nd
pass rate, passing downs
69%42nd
60%86th
pass rate, red zone
47%28th
27%119th
seconds per play (own drives)
24.1134th
30.047th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
ECU offence
ECU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.056
242
106 of 138
success rate
0.401
242
105 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.166
242
100 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.067
242
124 of 138
rush: success rate
0.368
242
121 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.836
242
105 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.210
242
76 of 138
pass: success rate
0.424
242
82 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.497
242
85 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.491
242
71 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.200
242
134 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.431
242
136 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.197
242
98 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.727
242
81 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.238
242
110 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.182
242
124 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.116
242
120 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.066
242
100 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.400
242
25 of 138
UAB offence
UAB offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.050
265
108 of 138
success rate
0.423
265
88 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.185
265
92 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.135
265
69 of 138
rush: success rate
0.437
265
82 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.994
265
58 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.009
265
127 of 138
pass: success rate
0.413
265
91 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.455
265
98 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.441
265
117 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.380
265
25 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.137
265
67 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.159
265
58 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.739
265
75 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.889
265
126 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.158
265
92 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.106
265
108 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.053
265
70 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.600
265
91 of 138
ECU defence
ECU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.018
288
42 of 138
success rate
0.354
288
35 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.313
288
101 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.024
288
67 of 138
rush: success rate
0.370
288
47 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.183
288
131 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.002
288
31 of 138
pass: success rate
0.345
288
25 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.540
288
65 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.371
288
14 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.327
288
109 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.252
288
11 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.291
288
134 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.583
288
20 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.846
288
37 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.194
288
113 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.160
288
131 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.035
288
9 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.000
288
48 of 138
UAB defence
UAB defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.053
249
73 of 138
success rate
0.450
249
116 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.044
249
14 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.093
249
93 of 138
rush: success rate
0.473
249
125 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.942
249
78 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.011
249
29 of 138
pass: success rate
0.403
249
72 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.275
249
7 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.531
249
130 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.250
249
42 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.430
249
132 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.124
249
9 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.704
249
62 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.870
249
106 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.157
249
61 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.120
249
109 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.036
249
10 of 138
opponent average starting field position
69.100
249
27 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs