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Saturday 2026-10-03 12:00 · Falcon Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
AF pass rush7.0% 5738th8.9% 12467thfaces NAVY15.0% 40136th11.0% ~3.6 sacks
NAVY pass rush11.7% 605th12.4% 12917thfaces AF6.7% 3094th9.2% ~3.0 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

NAVY with the ball

NAVY offence vs AF defenceNAVY offenceAF defencerank gap
points added per play0.21157th0.00453rd-4
success rate0.51217th0.34727th+10
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.141114th1.430130th+16
rush: points added per play0.3397th0.125107th+100
rush: success rate0.5783rd0.39865th+62
rush: explosiveness1.05038th1.118122nd+84
pass: points added per play-0.235138th-0.06415th-123
pass: success rate0.283137th0.31214th-123
pass: explosiveness1.79818th1.867131st+113
standard downs: success rate0.6153rd0.41137th+34
passing downs: success rate0.254113th0.23029th-84
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8258th2.86671st+63
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0997th0.21695th+88
short-yardage conversion rate0.9573rd0.66744th+41
points per trip inside the 404.75022nd4.000111th+89
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.164100th0.15049th-51
havoc allowed by the front seven0.116121st0.07528th-93
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04858th0.075101st+43
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.70036th——

AF with the ball

AF offence vs NAVY defenceAF offenceNAVY defencerank gap
points added per play0.29722nd0.158107th+85
success rate0.48932nd0.39167th+35
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.083129th1.407125th-4
rush: points added per play0.3368th-0.02048th+40
rush: success rate0.51120th0.33329th+9
rush: explosiveness0.96670th0.89964th-6
pass: points added per play0.29059th0.430128th+69
pass: success rate0.41786th0.481124th+38
pass: explosiveness1.8779th1.775119th+110
standard downs: success rate0.55424th0.41745th+21
passing downs: success rate0.28695th0.344118th+23
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8366th2.71157th+51
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0681st0.20784th+83
short-yardage conversion rate0.80833rd0.889132nd+99
points per trip inside the 404.31647th3.42973rd+26
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0643rd0.14543rd+40
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0212nd0.117103rd+101
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04343rd0.0281st-42
average starting field position (yards from own goal)73.30026th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.