Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). UTSA wins about 67% of the time at a number like ours.
UTSA
Games
4
Plays per game
63.2
Drives per game
11.8
SP+
-1.0 (73rd, offence 44th, defence 99th)
Returning production
67% (pass 93%, rush 36%, receiving 61%)
RICE
Games
4
Plays per game
63.8
Drives per game
10.2
SP+
-15.1 (119th, offence 119th, defence 116th)
Returning production
39% (pass -317%, rush 77%, receiving 54%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
UTSA
RICE
pass rate, all downs
51%48th
25%134th
pass rate, standard downs
44%51st
18%134th
pass rate, 1st down
48%33rd
17%135th
no-huddle share
84%37th
58%76th
pass rate, passing downs
67%53rd
43%135th
pass rate, red zone
35%87th
5%138th
seconds per play (own drives)
27.397th
30.532nd
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
UTSA offence
UTSA offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.268
253
35 of 138
success rate
0.474
253
45 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.111
253
124 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.248
253
25 of 138
rush: success rate
0.541
253
9 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.834
253
106 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.294
253
57 of 138
pass: success rate
0.417
253
87 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.459
253
97 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.565
253
14 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.263
253
109 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.075
253
75 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.172
253
79 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.850
253
16 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.542
253
91 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.137
253
66 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.071
253
35 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.067
253
105 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
68.400
253
104 of 138
RICE offence
RICE offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.069
255
102 of 138
success rate
0.447
255
61 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.118
255
121 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.127
255
70 of 138
rush: success rate
0.489
255
33 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.986
255
62 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.059
255
133 of 138
pass: success rate
0.333
255
130 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.648
255
47 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.527
255
41 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.239
255
120 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.353
255
33 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.132
255
28 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.800
255
39 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.833
255
74 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.137
255
64 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.110
255
111 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.027
255
9 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
76.400
255
2 of 138
UTSA defence
UTSA defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.077
324
77 of 138
success rate
0.432
324
101 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.135
324
36 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.187
324
124 of 138
rush: success rate
0.460
324
114 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.917
324
70 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.084
324
57 of 138
pass: success rate
0.423
324
94 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.380
324
26 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.473
324
88 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.340
324
114 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.280
324
123 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.124
324
10 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.650
324
43 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.714
324
93 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.128
324
21 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.067
324
12 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.061
324
67 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.200
324
74 of 138
RICE defence
RICE defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.137
261
98 of 138
success rate
0.429
261
97 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.289
261
92 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.152
261
117 of 138
rush: success rate
0.426
261
88 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.141
261
126 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.150
261
74 of 138
pass: success rate
0.442
261
105 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.497
261
59 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.489
261
101 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.310
261
97 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.766
261
61 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.184
261
52 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.647
261
40 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.280
261
122 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.146
261
44 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.107
261
86 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.038
261
14 of 138
opponent average starting field position
68.000
261
14 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs