Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). FAU wins about 83% of the time at a number like ours.
FIU
Games
4
Plays per game
73.5
Drives per game
10.8
SP+
-7.6 (99th, offence 124th, defence 61st)
Returning production
32% (pass -1%, rush 16%, receiving 49%)
FAU
Games
4
Plays per game
82.5
Drives per game
11.5
SP+
-4.2 (87th, offence 64th, defence 106th)
Returning production
68% (pass 93%, rush 107%, receiving 48%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
FIU
FAU
pass rate, all downs
54%26th
54%28th
pass rate, standard downs
48%20th
48%25th
pass rate, 1st down
49%29th
53%13th
no-huddle share
62%69th
98%7th
pass rate, passing downs
64%65th
68%46th
pass rate, red zone
58%7th
53%12th
seconds per play (own drives)
30.241st
22.5137th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
FIU offence
FIU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.009
294
119 of 138
success rate
0.391
294
114 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.207
294
79 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.079
294
128 of 138
rush: success rate
0.346
294
132 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.600
294
135 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.123
294
104 of 138
pass: success rate
0.444
294
67 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.594
294
59 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.441
294
116 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.302
294
80 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.826
294
106 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.180
294
86 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.789
294
45 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.500
294
130 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.153
294
83 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.075
294
45 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.078
294
122 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.300
294
54 of 138
FAU offence
FAU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.142
330
74 of 138
success rate
0.436
330
74 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.151
330
107 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.055
330
91 of 138
rush: success rate
0.387
330
113 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.976
330
66 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.230
330
73 of 138
pass: success rate
0.482
330
42 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.287
330
129 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.466
330
94 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.365
330
36 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.746
330
117 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.167
330
66 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.793
330
42 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.962
330
68 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.145
330
74 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.085
330
61 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.061
330
86 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.600
330
90 of 138
FIU defence
FIU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.004
249
47 of 138
success rate
0.337
249
20 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.159
249
45 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.058
249
37 of 138
rush: success rate
0.303
249
11 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.896
249
63 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.048
249
45 of 138
pass: success rate
0.363
249
36 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.361
249
22 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.403
249
33 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.232
249
31 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.231
249
10 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.218
249
100 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.667
249
46 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.762
249
32 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.177
249
85 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.120
249
108 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.056
249
55 of 138
opponent average starting field position
68.200
249
16 of 138
FAU defence
FAU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.209
259
122 of 138
success rate
0.405
259
78 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.543
259
136 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.171
259
120 of 138
rush: success rate
0.389
259
58 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.172
259
130 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.288
259
109 of 138
pass: success rate
0.427
259
97 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.875
259
132 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.463
259
81 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.286
259
76 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.805
259
64 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.191
259
62 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.857
259
124 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.227
259
120 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.158
259
62 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.089
259
52 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.069
259
93 of 138
opponent average starting field position
73.100
259
92 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs