Colorado State · away
at
—
Saturday 2026-11-21 19:30 · Valley Children's Stadium
Fresno State · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
FRES pass rush5.7% 12355th9.5% 26249thfaces CSU0.8% 1223rd3.3% ~1.1 sacks
CSU pass rush2.9% 68108th9.9% 18144thfaces FRES2.7% 11121st2.8% ~0.9 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

CSU with the ball

CSU offence vs FRES defenceCSU offenceFRES defencerank gap
points added per play0.27033rd0.01055th+22
success rate0.43872nd0.444110th+38
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.5124th1.12733rd+29
rush: points added per play0.28715th-0.02047th+32
rush: success rate0.42987th0.438102nd+15
rush: explosiveness1.3442nd0.82131st+29
pass: points added per play0.30954th0.11463rd+9
pass: success rate0.44961st0.467118th+57
pass: explosiveness1.66342nd1.49458th+16
standard downs: success rate0.47293rd0.510119th+26
passing downs: success rate0.35742nd0.27663rd+21
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.616125th2.93287th-38
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.202105th0.20886th-19
short-yardage conversion rate0.80036th0.65042nd+6
points per trip inside the 404.87519th2.90042nd+23
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15587th0.15659th-28
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08153rd0.10070th+17
havoc allowed by the secondary0.074115th0.05656th-59
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.600101st——

FRES with the ball

FRES offence vs CSU defenceFRES offenceCSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.11589th0.163112th+23
success rate0.369123rd0.462124th+1
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.42811th1.19856th+45
rush: points added per play0.025105th0.229130th+25
rush: success rate0.336134th0.487130th-4
rush: explosiveness1.2267th0.92776th+69
pass: points added per play0.36145th0.273103rd+58
pass: success rate0.44566th0.467117th+51
pass: explosiveness1.60655th1.664103rd+48
standard downs: success rate0.399130th0.522127th-3
passing downs: success rate0.30379th0.31096th+17
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.559131st3.395129th-2
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.266136th0.15829th-107
short-yardage conversion rate0.500133rd0.889131st-2
points per trip inside the 403.64085th4.037114th+29
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13355th0.18295th+40
havoc allowed by the front seven0.108109th0.10785th-24
havoc allowed by the secondary0.0247th0.075102nd+95
average starting field position (yards from own goal)66.900120th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.