Fresno State · away
at
—
Saturday 2026-11-14 16:00 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Texas State · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
TXST pass rush0.8% 134137th7.0% 228107thfaces FRES2.7% 11121st1.7% ~0.6 sacks
FRES pass rush5.7% 12355th9.5% 26249thfaces TXST1.3% 806th3.5% ~1.1 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

FRES with the ball

FRES offence vs TXST defenceFRES offenceTXST defencerank gap
points added per play0.11589th0.14899th+10
success rate0.369123rd0.461123rd0
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.42811th1.22368th+57
rush: points added per play0.025105th-0.01851st-54
rush: success rate0.336134th0.39868th-66
rush: explosiveness1.2267th0.84840th+33
pass: points added per play0.36145th0.362122nd+77
pass: success rate0.44566th0.511133rd+67
pass: explosiveness1.60655th1.43337th-18
standard downs: success rate0.399130th0.519124th-6
passing downs: success rate0.30379th0.343117th+38
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.559131st2.50230th-101
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.266136th0.250123rd-13
short-yardage conversion rate0.500133rd0.59123rd-110
points per trip inside the 403.64085th4.321123rd+38
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13355th0.15966th+11
havoc allowed by the front seven0.108109th0.08139th-70
havoc allowed by the secondary0.0247th0.078111th+104
average starting field position (yards from own goal)66.900120th——

TXST with the ball

TXST offence vs FRES defenceTXST offenceFRES defencerank gap
points added per play0.30520th0.01055th+35
success rate0.49528th0.444110th+82
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32429th1.12733rd+4
rush: points added per play0.15357th-0.02047th-10
rush: success rate0.46753rd0.438102nd+49
rush: explosiveness0.97168th0.82131st-37
pass: points added per play0.6604th0.11463rd+59
pass: success rate0.55910th0.467118th+108
pass: explosiveness1.85214th1.49458th+44
standard downs: success rate0.48480th0.510119th+39
passing downs: success rate0.5302nd0.27663rd+61
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.26848th2.93287th+39
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13937th0.20886th+49
short-yardage conversion rate0.667105th0.65042nd-63
points per trip inside the 403.214112th2.90042nd-70
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11329th0.15659th+30
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07950th0.10070th+20
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03419th0.05656th+37
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.60050th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.