Boise State · away
at
—
Saturday 2026-10-10 22:30 · Valley Children's Stadium
Fresno State · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
FRES pass rush5.7% 12355th9.5% 26249thfaces BOIS3.6% 8341st4.7% ~1.5 sacks
BOIS pass rush4.1% 9890th10.2% 16738thfaces FRES2.7% 11121st3.4% ~1.1 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

BOIS with the ball

BOIS offence vs FRES defenceBOIS offenceFRES defencerank gap
points added per play0.29523rd0.01055th+32
success rate0.50023rd0.444110th+87
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.153105th1.12733rd-72
rush: points added per play0.24824th-0.02047th+23
rush: success rate0.51815th0.438102nd+87
rush: explosiveness0.94177th0.82131st-46
pass: points added per play0.33548th0.11463rd+15
pass: success rate0.46155th0.467118th+63
pass: explosiveness1.49087th1.49458th-29
standard downs: success rate0.53834th0.510119th+85
passing downs: success rate0.40016th0.27663rd+47
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.50420th2.93287th+67
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14946th0.20886th+40
short-yardage conversion rate0.76259th0.65042nd-17
points per trip inside the 404.28650th2.90042nd-8
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0909th0.15659th+50
havoc allowed by the front seven0.05921st0.10070th+49
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03115th0.05656th+41
average starting field position (yards from own goal)75.0007th——

FRES with the ball

FRES offence vs BOIS defenceFRES offenceBOIS defencerank gap
points added per play0.11589th0.01960th-29
success rate0.369123rd0.35638th-85
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.42811th1.663138th+127
rush: points added per play0.025105th0.01763rd-42
rush: success rate0.336134th0.33027th-107
rush: explosiveness1.2267th1.083116th+109
pass: points added per play0.36145th0.11462nd+17
pass: success rate0.44566th0.38157th-9
pass: explosiveness1.60655th2.024137th+82
standard downs: success rate0.399130th0.41541st-89
passing downs: success rate0.30379th0.26250th-29
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.559131st2.46927th-104
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.266136th0.284133rd-3
short-yardage conversion rate0.500133rd0.800106th-27
points per trip inside the 403.64085th2.66726th-59
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13355th0.192112th+57
havoc allowed by the front seven0.108109th0.11495th-14
havoc allowed by the secondary0.0247th0.078109th+102
average starting field position (yards from own goal)66.900120th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.