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Saturday 2026-11-28 · time TBA · Ryan Field
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
NU pass rush4.9% 6174th7.0% 129109thfaces ILL3.2% 9431st4.1% ~1.3 sacks
ILL pass rush1.1% 88135th6.5% 200116thfaces NU8.9% 56121st5.0% ~1.7 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

ILL with the ball

ILL offence vs NU defenceILL offenceNU defencerank gap
points added per play0.28428th0.08380th+52
success rate0.51611th0.441106th+95
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27351st1.12032nd-19
rush: points added per play0.26120th0.112100th+80
rush: success rate0.51816th0.472124th+108
rush: explosiveness1.02245th0.86846th+1
pass: points added per play0.32351st0.03538th-13
pass: success rate0.52418th0.40574th+56
pass: explosiveness1.47590th1.40633rd-57
standard downs: success rate0.56415th0.515123rd+108
passing downs: success rate0.38524th0.22827th+3
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.45126th3.429131st+105
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.11411th0.14217th+6
short-yardage conversion rate0.667103rd0.59122nd-81
points per trip inside the 404.03763rd2.42117th-46
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11431st0.16272nd+41
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0457th0.0637th0
havoc allowed by the secondary0.069109th0.099131st+22
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.60048th——

NU with the ball

NU offence vs ILL defenceNU offenceILL defencerank gap
points added per play0.30421st0.193120th+99
success rate0.46349th0.445112th+63
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.29445th1.26988th+43
rush: points added per play0.15654th0.123105th+51
rush: success rate0.41098th0.41480th-18
rush: explosiveness0.97865th1.039103rd+38
pass: points added per play0.54013th0.279107th+94
pass: success rate0.53713th0.489127th+114
pass: explosiveness1.64946th1.47852nd+6
standard downs: success rate0.48578th0.490102nd+24
passing downs: success rate0.41114th0.329111th+97
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.835104th2.76660th-44
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19093rd0.20783rd-10
short-yardage conversion rate0.81829th0.783103rd+74
points per trip inside the 405.11112th3.864105th+93
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13356th0.13128th-28
havoc allowed by the front seven0.112117th0.06915th-102
havoc allowed by the secondary0.0214th0.06270th+66
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.40041st——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.