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Friday 2026-11-20 20:00 · Spartan Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MSU pass rush6.8% 10341st9.8% 22446thfaces ORE4.6% 10863rd5.7% ~1.9 sacks
ORE pass rush4.2% 12087th7.1% 225104thfaces MSU10.2% 118130th7.2% ~2.4 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

ORE with the ball

ORE offence vs MSU defenceORE offenceMSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.32814th0.151103rd+89
success rate0.47841st0.42796th+55
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.41416th1.23472nd+56
rush: points added per play0.22533rd0.06081st+48
rush: success rate0.47347th0.455110th+63
rush: explosiveness1.00156th0.85442nd-14
pass: points added per play0.41428th0.21290th+62
pass: success rate0.48043rd0.37953rd+10
pass: explosiveness1.77722nd1.723114th+92
standard downs: success rate0.51548th0.48497th+49
passing downs: success rate0.38822nd0.30189th+67
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.36032nd2.75958th+26
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12219th0.260128th+109
short-yardage conversion rate0.81032nd0.63235th+3
points per trip inside the 405.02915th3.60086th+71
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.10721st0.15152nd+31
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06930th0.09562nd+32
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03826th0.05658th+32
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.200108th——

MSU with the ball

MSU offence vs ORE defenceMSU offenceORE defencerank gap
points added per play0.033115th-0.00349th-66
success rate0.44465th0.37357th-8
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.082130th1.23977th-53
rush: points added per play-0.008117th0.04175th-42
rush: success rate0.41595th0.37853rd-42
rush: explosiveness0.848104th0.90167th-37
pass: points added per play0.15593rd0.03639th-54
pass: success rate0.48341st0.37954th+13
pass: explosiveness1.347121st1.54066th-55
standard downs: success rate0.50555th0.41036th-19
passing downs: success rate0.27898th0.29484th-14
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.92397th2.68555th-42
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.204108th0.18554th-54
short-yardage conversion rate0.71490th0.75085th-5
points per trip inside the 403.346105th3.33367th-38
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.192128th0.15760th-68
havoc allowed by the front seven0.128130th0.0491st-129
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06494th0.108136th+42
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.300105th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.