Michigan State · away
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Saturday 2026-11-07 · time TBA · Michigan Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MICH pass rush9.8% 11212th12.6% 23015thfaces MSU10.2% 118130th10.0% ~3.3 sacks
MSU pass rush6.8% 10341st9.8% 22446thfaces MICH4.0% 10050th5.4% ~1.8 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

MSU with the ball

MSU offence vs MICH defenceMSU offenceMICH defencerank gap
points added per play0.033115th-0.09021st-94
success rate0.44465th0.3119th-56
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.082130th1.20057th-73
rush: points added per play-0.008117th-0.13322nd-95
rush: success rate0.41595th0.31416th-79
rush: explosiveness0.848104th0.72821st-83
pass: points added per play0.15593rd-0.06416th-77
pass: success rate0.48341st0.31012th-29
pass: explosiveness1.347121st1.684106th-15
standard downs: success rate0.50555th0.37716th-39
passing downs: success rate0.27898th0.2009th-89
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.92397th2.62848th-49
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.204108th0.223102nd-6
short-yardage conversion rate0.71490th0.71467th-23
points per trip inside the 403.346105th2.0537th-98
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.192128th0.17890th-38
havoc allowed by the front seven0.128130th0.137120th-10
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06494th0.04118th-76
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.300105th——

MICH with the ball

MICH offence vs MSU defenceMICH offenceMSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.16466th0.151103rd+37
success rate0.43577th0.42796th+19
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.17496th1.23472nd-24
rush: points added per play0.034103rd0.06081st-22
rush: success rate0.401103rd0.455110th+7
rush: explosiveness0.781118th0.85442nd-76
pass: points added per play0.43326th0.21290th+64
pass: success rate0.49532nd0.37953rd+21
pass: explosiveness1.63451st1.723114th+63
standard downs: success rate0.449110th0.48497th-13
passing downs: success rate0.39719th0.30189th+70
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.17064th2.75958th-6
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12721st0.260128th+107
short-yardage conversion rate0.75068th0.63235th-33
points per trip inside the 403.280108th3.60086th-22
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13460th0.15152nd-8
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07340th0.09562nd+22
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06188th0.05658th-30
average starting field position (yards from own goal)74.10015th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.