Oregon · away
at
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Saturday 2026-10-24 · time TBA · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Illinois · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
ILL pass rush1.1% 88135th6.5% 200116thfaces ORE4.6% 10863rd2.9% ~1.0 sacks
ORE pass rush4.2% 12087th7.1% 225104thfaces ILL3.2% 9431st3.7% ~1.2 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

ORE with the ball

ORE offence vs ILL defenceORE offenceILL defencerank gap
points added per play0.32814th0.193120th+106
success rate0.47841st0.445112th+71
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.41416th1.26988th+72
rush: points added per play0.22533rd0.123105th+72
rush: success rate0.47347th0.41480th+33
rush: explosiveness1.00156th1.039103rd+47
pass: points added per play0.41428th0.279107th+79
pass: success rate0.48043rd0.489127th+84
pass: explosiveness1.77722nd1.47852nd+30
standard downs: success rate0.51548th0.490102nd+54
passing downs: success rate0.38822nd0.329111th+89
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.36032nd2.76660th+28
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12219th0.20783rd+64
short-yardage conversion rate0.81032nd0.783103rd+71
points per trip inside the 405.02915th3.864105th+90
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.10721st0.13128th+7
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06930th0.06915th-15
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03826th0.06270th+44
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.200108th——

ILL with the ball

ILL offence vs ORE defenceILL offenceORE defencerank gap
points added per play0.28428th-0.00349th+21
success rate0.51611th0.37357th+46
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27351st1.23977th+26
rush: points added per play0.26120th0.04175th+55
rush: success rate0.51816th0.37853rd+37
rush: explosiveness1.02245th0.90167th+22
pass: points added per play0.32351st0.03639th-12
pass: success rate0.52418th0.37954th+36
pass: explosiveness1.47590th1.54066th-24
standard downs: success rate0.56415th0.41036th+21
passing downs: success rate0.38524th0.29484th+60
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.45126th2.68555th+29
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.11411th0.18554th+43
short-yardage conversion rate0.667103rd0.75085th-18
points per trip inside the 404.03763rd3.33367th+4
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11431st0.15760th+29
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0457th0.0491st-6
havoc allowed by the secondary0.069109th0.108136th+27
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.60048th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.