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Saturday 2026-10-17 · time TBA · Spartan Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MSU pass rush6.8% 10341st9.8% 22446thfaces NU8.9% 56121st7.9% ~2.6 sacks
NU pass rush4.9% 6174th7.0% 129109thfaces MSU10.2% 118130th7.5% ~2.5 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

NU with the ball

NU offence vs MSU defenceNU offenceMSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.30421st0.151103rd+82
success rate0.46349th0.42796th+47
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.29445th1.23472nd+27
rush: points added per play0.15654th0.06081st+27
rush: success rate0.41098th0.455110th+12
rush: explosiveness0.97865th0.85442nd-23
pass: points added per play0.54013th0.21290th+77
pass: success rate0.53713th0.37953rd+40
pass: explosiveness1.64946th1.723114th+68
standard downs: success rate0.48578th0.48497th+19
passing downs: success rate0.41114th0.30189th+75
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.835104th2.75958th-46
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19093rd0.260128th+35
short-yardage conversion rate0.81829th0.63235th+6
points per trip inside the 405.11112th3.60086th+74
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13356th0.15152nd-4
havoc allowed by the front seven0.112117th0.09562nd-55
havoc allowed by the secondary0.0214th0.05658th+54
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.40041st——

MSU with the ball

MSU offence vs NU defenceMSU offenceNU defencerank gap
points added per play0.033115th0.08380th-35
success rate0.44465th0.441106th+41
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.082130th1.12032nd-98
rush: points added per play-0.008117th0.112100th-17
rush: success rate0.41595th0.472124th+29
rush: explosiveness0.848104th0.86846th-58
pass: points added per play0.15593rd0.03538th-55
pass: success rate0.48341st0.40574th+33
pass: explosiveness1.347121st1.40633rd-88
standard downs: success rate0.50555th0.515123rd+68
passing downs: success rate0.27898th0.22827th-71
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.92397th3.429131st+34
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.204108th0.14217th-91
short-yardage conversion rate0.71490th0.59122nd-68
points per trip inside the 403.346105th2.42117th-88
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.192128th0.16272nd-56
havoc allowed by the front seven0.128130th0.0637th-123
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06494th0.099131st+37
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.300105th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.