Penn State · away
at
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Saturday 2026-10-17 · time TBA · Michigan Stadium
Michigan · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MICH pass rush9.8% 11212th12.6% 23015thfaces PSU4.4% 11359th7.1% ~2.3 sacks
PSU pass rush4.3% 11684th8.3% 22878thfaces MICH4.0% 10050th4.2% ~1.4 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

PSU with the ball

PSU offence vs MICH defencePSU offenceMICH defencerank gap
points added per play0.22055th-0.09021st-34
success rate0.41894th0.3119th-85
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.29942nd1.20057th+15
rush: points added per play0.10278th-0.13322nd-56
rush: success rate0.40999th0.31416th-83
rush: explosiveness0.92981st0.72821st-60
pass: points added per play0.39132nd-0.06416th-16
pass: success rate0.43472nd0.31012th-60
pass: explosiveness1.81317th1.684106th+89
standard downs: success rate0.47392nd0.37716th-76
passing downs: success rate0.270106th0.2009th-97
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.835105th2.62848th-57
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13634th0.223102nd+68
short-yardage conversion rate0.72782nd0.71467th-15
points per trip inside the 403.96766th2.0537th-59
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11633rd0.17890th+57
havoc allowed by the front seven0.05819th0.137120th+101
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05879th0.04118th-61
average starting field position (yards from own goal)65.800126th——

MICH with the ball

MICH offence vs PSU defenceMICH offencePSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.16466th-0.10319th-47
success rate0.43577th0.31510th-67
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.17496th1.17147th-49
rush: points added per play0.034103rd0.04074th-29
rush: success rate0.401103rd0.33931st-72
rush: explosiveness0.781118th1.129125th+7
pass: points added per play0.43326th-0.1643rd-23
pass: success rate0.49532nd0.2966th-26
pass: explosiveness1.63451st1.2074th-47
standard downs: success rate0.449110th0.36511th-99
passing downs: success rate0.39719th0.22423rd+4
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.17064th2.52933rd-31
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12721st0.229109th+88
short-yardage conversion rate0.75068th0.66750th-18
points per trip inside the 403.280108th3.63688th-20
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13460th0.195114th+54
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07340th0.11294th+54
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06188th0.083120th+32
average starting field position (yards from own goal)74.10015th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.