USC · away
at
—
Saturday 2026-10-10 19:30 · Beaver Stadium
Penn State · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
PSU pass rush4.3% 11684th8.3% 22878thfaces USC2.9% 17524th3.6% ~1.2 sacks
USC pass rush2.8% 144113th7.4% 28397thfaces PSU4.4% 11359th3.6% ~1.2 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

USC with the ball

USC offence vs PSU defenceUSC offencePSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.30719th-0.10319th0
success rate0.5355th0.31510th+5
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.18791st1.17147th-44
rush: points added per play0.08285th0.04074th-11
rush: success rate0.48636th0.33931st-5
rush: explosiveness0.829107th1.129125th+18
pass: points added per play0.56410th-0.1643rd-7
pass: success rate0.5924th0.2966th+2
pass: explosiveness1.49786th1.2074th-82
standard downs: success rate0.55822nd0.36511th-11
passing downs: success rate0.4673rd0.22423rd+20
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.26849th2.52933rd-16
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16872nd0.229109th+37
short-yardage conversion rate0.79343rd0.66750th+7
points per trip inside the 404.61131st3.63688th+57
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0898th0.195114th+106
havoc allowed by the front seven0.04710th0.11294th+84
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04242nd0.083120th+78
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.30094th——

PSU with the ball

PSU offence vs USC defencePSU offenceUSC defencerank gap
points added per play0.22055th0.191119th+64
success rate0.41894th0.42291st-3
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.29942nd1.363113th+71
rush: points added per play0.10278th0.08089th+11
rush: success rate0.40999th0.40069th-30
rush: explosiveness0.92981st0.96184th+3
pass: points added per play0.39132nd0.424127th+95
pass: success rate0.43472nd0.462114th+42
pass: explosiveness1.81317th1.724115th+98
standard downs: success rate0.47392nd0.44667th-25
passing downs: success rate0.270106th0.374131st+25
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.835105th2.58741st-64
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13634th0.19368th+34
short-yardage conversion rate0.72782nd0.76294th+12
points per trip inside the 403.96766th4.179119th+53
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11633rd0.1169th-24
havoc allowed by the front seven0.05819th0.07530th+11
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05879th0.04121st-58
average starting field position (yards from own goal)65.800126th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.