Washington · away
at
USC -8.5
Saturday 2026-10-03 19:30 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
USC · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
USC pass rush2.8% 144113th7.4% 28397thfaces WASH8.0% 112109th5.4% ~1.8 sacks
WASH pass rush7.8% 9026th13.7% 1757thfaces USC2.9% 17524th5.3% ~1.8 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

WASH with the ball

WASH offence vs USC defenceWASH offenceUSC defencerank gap
points added per play0.15173rd0.191119th+46
success rate0.44664th0.42291st+27
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.20780th1.363113th+33
rush: points added per play0.05592nd0.08089th-3
rush: success rate0.394110th0.40069th-41
rush: explosiveness0.89286th0.96184th-2
pass: points added per play0.27265th0.424127th+62
pass: success rate0.47647th0.462114th+67
pass: explosiveness1.391117th1.724115th-2
standard downs: success rate0.49270th0.44667th-3
passing downs: success rate0.30282nd0.374131st+49
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.815110th2.58741st-69
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.221122nd0.19368th-54
short-yardage conversion rate0.615119th0.76294th-25
points per trip inside the 403.86273rd4.179119th+46
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13254th0.1169th-45
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08567th0.07530th-37
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04756th0.04121st-35
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.40074th——

USC with the ball

USC offence vs WASH defenceUSC offenceWASH defencerank gap
points added per play0.30719th-0.1486th-13
success rate0.5355th0.34426th+21
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.18791st1.16146th-45
rush: points added per play0.08285th-0.2089th-76
rush: success rate0.48636th0.32120th-16
rush: explosiveness0.829107th0.74122nd-85
pass: points added per play0.56410th-0.00330th+20
pass: success rate0.5924th0.38561st+57
pass: explosiveness1.49786th1.55470th-16
standard downs: success rate0.55822nd0.38118th-4
passing downs: success rate0.4673rd0.27359th+56
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.26849th2.32317th-32
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16872nd0.305135th+63
short-yardage conversion rate0.79343rd0.3331st-42
points per trip inside the 404.61131st2.60923rd-8
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0898th0.203119th+111
havoc allowed by the front seven0.04710th0.121111th+101
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04242nd0.082119th+77
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.30094th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.