Maryland · away
at
NEB -14.5
Saturday 2026-10-03 16:00 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Nebraska · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
NEB pass rush7.2% 8332nd9.5% 16953rdfaces MD3.2% 12630th5.2% ~1.7 sacks
MD pass rush5.7% 8856th8.1% 18581stfaces NEB3.2% 9333rd4.5% ~1.5 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

MD with the ball

MD offence vs NEB defenceMD offenceNEB defencerank gap
points added per play0.13279th-0.01843rd-36
success rate0.45257th0.36646th-11
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.23963rd1.24178th+15
rush: points added per play0.13867th0.00260th-7
rush: success rate0.43584th0.35537th-47
rush: explosiveness1.04240th1.050106th+66
pass: points added per play0.12999th-0.10712th-87
pass: success rate0.46156th0.34926th-30
pass: explosiveness1.400115th1.34220th-95
standard downs: success rate0.50753rd0.46482nd+29
passing downs: success rate0.30973rd0.1907th-66
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.88299th2.89875th-24
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.234126th0.18251st-75
short-yardage conversion rate0.71489th0.800108th+19
points per trip inside the 403.43398th2.61124th-74
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14371st0.204121st+50
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08564th0.136119th+55
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05878th0.06890th+12
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.20075th——

NEB with the ball

NEB offence vs MD defenceNEB offenceMD defencerank gap
points added per play0.4146th0.02967th+61
success rate0.49825th0.38060th+35
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.4398th1.22167th+59
rush: points added per play0.3445th-0.05139th+34
rush: success rate0.49429th0.36746th+17
rush: explosiveness1.2595th0.87856th+51
pass: points added per play0.49917th0.16978th+61
pass: success rate0.50031st0.41888th+57
pass: explosiveness1.65845th1.57279th+34
standard downs: success rate0.51744th0.41643rd-1
passing downs: success rate0.4494th0.319106th+102
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.40828th2.33418th-10
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.15251st0.227108th+57
short-yardage conversion rate0.72087th0.70663rd-24
points per trip inside the 405.1929th4.150117th+108
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11023rd0.15965th+42
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07134th0.11497th+63
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03932nd0.04531st-1
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.70087th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.